The NFL Draft Story Lines That Do and Don't Matter

2026-04-14 02:39:00 • 1:03:21

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0:58

Welcome to the Ringer NFL show.

1:06

I'm your host, Shiel Kapati.

1:07

Today we're zooming out.

1:08

We focused in on a bunch of prospects and mock drafts

1:12

and team needs and all that stuff in the previous episode.

1:15

Today we're zooming out.

1:16

What are the big picture storylines in this draft?

1:19

And are they interesting?

1:20

Is this a good draft?

1:21

Does this draft lack juice?

1:23

We're going to talk about all that.

1:24

Get into Fernando Mendoza as the number one overall pick.

1:27

And of course, the perfect guess for a show like this

1:29

is our friend at the Ringer, Billy Gill,

1:32

because you know it's going to go in a number

1:33

of different directions from Mendoza

1:36

to whether you should draft a running back early,

1:38

to his draft content, got in out of control.

1:40

We're going to get into all of that.

1:41

Let's take a break.

1:42

We come back with Billy Gill.

1:44

All right, we are back here on the Ringer NFL show.

2:00

With our friend, Billy Gill, Billy,

2:03

I think you once called yourself the Every Man.

2:06

And so that's the theme of today's show.

2:07

What is the Every Man interested in with the 2026 NFL?

2:13

Do we've done all the deep dives in the prospect?

2:15

But like, does this draft have juice?

2:17

What are the storylines we should be talking about?

2:20

The Every Man is talking about.

2:22

So I think that's the theme of today's show, but we'll say,

2:24

OK, well, thank you for having me back.

2:26

I've missed you, Sheila.

2:27

It's been a little while, you know?

2:29

Listen, you are a, I, I, to keep track of your whereabouts,

2:33

really without social media, without Instagram Reels,

2:36

I would have no idea.

2:37

But you pop up, I'm like, oh, there he is on Ringer Tailgate.

2:40

Oh, there he is with Bill.

2:42

He's talking some baseball here.

2:43

There he is on this other thing.

2:44

And then you've got this whole other thing where when you're not

2:46

doing podcasts, you're doing all this other stuff.

2:49

So I'm thrilled to have you back,

2:52

even though you're on the road for sack lows.

2:54

Yeah.

2:54

I've shown that you're going to be attending.

2:56

You got your little knapsack in your lights and your camera

2:59

and you look great.

3:00

Thank you.

3:01

I appreciate that.

3:02

If it's hard for you to keep track, it's hard for me to keep track

3:05

too.

3:05

I told you in confidence earlier today,

3:07

and I told Chris earlier today, when I agreed to do this last week,

3:11

I was so excited.

3:12

And I was like, oh, wait, no, I'm not going to be in town.

3:14

I need to figure out how I'm going to make this happen.

3:15

Because the last thing I was going to do was going to be back

3:18

out of an appearance on this show.

3:19

It's not going to happen.

3:20

It's, I thought, I thought, you know, we had this nice thing going.

3:23

We were on it a couple of times a week.

3:25

And then the season ends.

3:26

And it's like, boom, get out of here, Bill.

3:28

I was like, whoa, we're doing deep dives.

3:30

We're having all this fun.

3:31

I'm not involved.

3:32

I don't know why you don't want me for the deep dives.

3:34

How did your deep dives go?

3:36

If we did deep dives, they went well.

3:38

But I'm just trying to share.

3:40

I don't want to be, you know, too, like, just like, oh, he belongs to me.

3:43

Get out of here.

3:44

Zach Lowell and Joel Anderson and Bill Smith get out of here.

3:48

He's mine.

3:49

I claimed him during the season.

3:50

So I didn't want to do that.

3:51

Give you a little space.

3:53

But now you're back.

3:53

And I'm ready to talk draft, Billy.

3:55

So you get us started here.

3:57

I know we both got some topics here.

3:59

I have some stuff I want to get your thoughts on.

4:01

You have some stuff you wanted to throw out there.

4:03

Give me a draft storyline.

4:05

You're actually interested in an angle.

4:07

You're actually interested in to get us started.

4:10

OK.

4:10

I think there's a lot of things I like to talk about drafts.

4:13

We can get into later on draft prep.

4:15

How do you do it?

4:15

What do you do?

4:16

Where do you watch?

4:17

Who are you with?

4:18

All of that.

4:18

That's now we're going to start.

4:19

Because we're going to be focused a little bit on the draft.

4:21

Then we can kind of get away from it

4:23

and have those conversations as they come up naturally.

4:25

So big storyline of the draft.

4:27

This number one pick for Nando Mendoza.

4:30

Sheel came out last week and he said, you know what?

4:34

I'm not going to be attending this draft.

4:35

I'm going to be staying home.

4:36

I'm going to be with my family.

4:38

I'm going to kind of try to have that moment with them

4:41

make it more of a private situation.

4:43

It's something that I feel like was a lot more common back

4:46

in the day.

4:46

And then recently, we haven't really seen it all that much.

4:49

There's been a handful of guys here

4:50

and there that have opted to not go to the live draft.

4:53

But he is the assumed number one pick.

4:56

There's no indications that he won't be the number one pick.

4:59

This is going to be a coronation for him, right?

5:01

This might be a core memory in his life.

5:04

This is what he's worked his entire life for

5:06

is to be the number one pick of the draft,

5:09

potentially when the high has been trophy.

5:11

And he's opting to stay home for this.

5:13

And I found it kind of curious.

5:15

I don't know how you experienced it,

5:17

but there's different theories being floated out there.

5:20

Maybe, you know, he's kind of like more,

5:22

he's not your typical guy that's super flash.

5:25

He's going to be out there in the moment.

5:26

He seems somewhat more subdued, a little nerdy, if you will.

5:31

I was reading the comments sections,

5:33

which is never a good place to be as the comments sections.

5:36

But they were theorizing, hey, you know what?

5:38

As the season was going on last year,

5:41

you started seeing his parents in the stands,

5:43

his family in the stands.

5:44

And one of the main focuses was his mother's battle with MS.

5:48

Maybe it's a situation where the travel

5:50

and all of that will be difficult on her and the family.

5:53

And maybe they're trying to keep it from being,

5:55

you know, one of those situations

5:57

where a Tom and all the type is going.

5:59

And it's like, let's do, how do we fill four hours?

6:01

Let's do stories on his mom and her battle and all of that.

6:05

So people are theorizing maybe that's something

6:07

that they're trying to avoid is kind of making that a thing

6:10

where anyone's uncomfortable in the family.

6:11

Just, you know, for him, I wish, obviously, it's his choice.

6:15

For him, I wish he'd be there just so he'd have that moment

6:18

and remember that moment forever

6:19

because that's what he's worked so hard for.

6:21

But he's chosen not to do that.

6:24

I'm fine with it.

6:25

The more I think about it, yeah, I mean,

6:27

what's the big T.R.

6:28

So you're going to get in a suit.

6:30

You're going to go from Miami to Pittsburgh.

6:33

You know, you're going to hang out there.

6:35

They're going to call your name.

6:36

Now you got to tap up everybody on your walk up.

6:40

You got to pretend like you like Roger Gidell.

6:42

You know, he might mess up your name

6:44

like you did with Marcus Mariotta back in the day.

6:46

God forbid the commissioner tries to learn the pronunciations

6:49

of maybe like the top five picks in the draft

6:51

because that would be asking way too much.

6:53

So you get up there and it's a lot of, like you said,

6:56

it might just not fit his personality.

6:58

I'm sure he has a nice home there in, you know,

7:00

the South Florida area where he can, all right,

7:02

I get to choose who's here, you know, it's like,

7:06

all right, these are my people.

7:07

These are the people who have been with me.

7:09

We have our spread.

7:10

They probably have a go-to place.

7:11

They're ordering the food from and we get to just hang out.

7:15

I'm still going to remember this moment.

7:16

I'm sure someone's going to be everybody has an uncle

7:18

who likes to take the photos, right?

7:20

It's, you know, you had the one uncle who's like,

7:22

it's not just the camera, the iPhone.

7:25

It's like, oh, no, man, he got the real one

7:27

with the lens and they're, you know, they're taking photos.

7:30

So I'm sure he'll have that.

7:31

And I say if you don't want to be there, don't be there.

7:34

I think it's perfectly fine.

7:36

I don't think as, you know, from our perspective,

7:38

as viewers, consumers, I don't think one way or another,

7:42

it'll really impact our viewing of the draft.

7:44

Oh, no, I mean, it does, listen, it's not in my business.

7:47

It does affect me.

7:48

Nothing impacts me.

7:49

Very little impacts me.

7:50

Yeah, I'll be there.

7:51

I'll watch whatever.

7:52

But, you know, I kind of wish for him you would have it

7:54

because also, and this is probably like something

7:57

that maybe we don't want to discuss or go into 2D for you.

8:00

Right.

8:01

But, what if he ends up being a little bit of a bust, you know?

8:07

And this is like, then the career high

8:09

is being the number one pick, or is it a situation

8:13

where you protect yourself from the potential busts of it all?

8:17

Where it's like, well, I don't want to be a Jermarkis Russell

8:19

where I'm there and I'm there on the stage holding the Jersey

8:23

and then forever for the rest of time.

8:24

They show him holding the number one Jersey on the stage,

8:28

being the number one overall pick, the career doesn't pan out.

8:30

And then you have that because let's be real.

8:33

You're not going to go back and show, you know,

8:36

a video of him in his living room with the dog

8:38

and all the family around when it's like, oh, for an Amanda

8:40

and Dosa didn't, you know, pan out for him the way that we thought

8:44

Dan Orlovsky was right.

8:45

He never played in any big games.

8:47

It isn't a thing that, you know, we should have,

8:49

we should have done Thai Simpson was really the man all along.

8:52

And they're not going to go back to show video of him

8:54

in his living room.

8:55

So maybe he's hedging here and he's protecting himself

9:00

from a potential embarrassing situation down the road.

9:03

I just realized he gets to use his own bathroom

9:05

the entire time.

9:06

I mean, for nothing else, you know, that's going to be good for him.

9:10

Now you did a lute to earlier.

9:13

You said he's kind of nerdy.

9:14

And I've actually wanted to get your take on this for a while,

9:17

the Fernando Mendoza personality because you, you know,

9:21

you're on Ringer tailgate, you're locked into college football.

9:25

I basically, you know, I throw on games on Saturday,

9:28

but I'm not locked in until then the playoffs.

9:30

I start watching a little more closely.

9:32

So like those on field interviews and the playoffs are after the big 10.

9:35

That was when I got my first exposure to like, oh, this guy's a little bit

9:39

different than everyone else.

9:41

And so I feel like there's this idea of this guy's going to go to Vegas

9:45

and spend the next four or five years there.

9:48

And I also think there's this question of,

9:51

because whenever a guy has a little different personality, like,

9:53

I've seen Russell Wilson comms.

9:56

I'm an outsider, but I feel like watching men doze at its more,

9:59

but he feels authentic to me.

10:01

Like this, this is actually who he is.

10:03

He's not putting up a facade because he thinks this is what I'm supposed to be.

10:07

Like it's like, this is who he actually is.

10:09

And I think that's a big difference because I think when you're in authentic

10:12

and people feel like you're trying to be someone you're not,

10:15

that's when it becomes an issue with your teammates or with fans or with media or whoever.

10:19

He feels more authentic.

10:20

So I actually am fine with him being nerdy, corny, whatever.

10:25

If that's who he actually is.

10:26

So are you with me on that or am I wrong?

10:29

And that it's like, no, she'll, you actually should, you know, let it make fun of this guy a little bit more.

10:33

I like that.

10:35

I like that's the direction that you went in with the Russell Wilson comm.

10:38

Because Russell Wilson, God bless him, does not come off as authentic at all on a lot of these situations.

10:45

It feels a bit of a put on.

10:47

You wonder if behind the scenes like, Oh, maybe it's not just like G gosh,

10:50

Golly, all of this stuff.

10:52

Like there's a different side.

10:53

There's the danger bus that's out there, you know, that he keeps away from us when he's being mistreated.

10:59

So Fernando seems like he's just Fernando.

11:02

And this is who he is.

11:03

He was probably like in the robotics club in high school growing up.

11:06

And he has like this whole side to him, you know,

11:09

I was thinking when I was looking at this.

11:11

So let's say he goes to the Raiders like we all assume he's going to go to the Raiders, right?

11:15

The Raiders probably have the safest quarterback room that you could have in the NFL for people being in Vegas.

11:22

You have Kurt Cousins who's there who's probably not going to be out or taking in Las Vegas very much at night.

11:30

You have Fernando Mendoza who it seems like, especially early on,

11:33

is not going to be out partaking in Las Vegas.

11:36

He's going to be there in the film room.

11:38

You have Aiden O'Connell who's been there a couple of years.

11:39

And I don't know, he may have like a 30 dark side to him,

11:42

but like he looks like a state trooper with his mustache.

11:45

So I feel like this is the safest possible room there.

11:48

And Kirk has kind of hinted at like, yeah, I'm just kind of here to,

11:52

I mean, without saying it, he's just there to continue to cash checks for going to be honest, right?

11:55

Like Kurt Cousins is a time career.

11:58

No one has been better at finding ways to cash checks and get paid than Kurt Cousins.

12:03

No one's getting bigger deals for, you know,

12:06

comparatively, they're skill level than Kurt Cousins.

12:09

And I think he's fine with like, you know what?

12:12

I'm going to keep signing these big number one starter checks.

12:17

I'll probably be a backup here.

12:18

I know the future isn't long for me here in Las Vegas as it is.

12:21

And I wonder, I guess age is playing a factor against him, right?

12:25

But I wonder when Kirk says, you know what?

12:28

I'm going to, I'm going to settle into like the backup, like clipboard quarterback.

12:33

And I'm going to like ride this out for another like four more years,

12:37

just collecting an extra couple million dollars a year to not get hit and never go on the field.

12:42

Kirk Cousins, by the way, maybe not the greatest player of all time,

12:46

maybe not a Hall of Famer, maybe a Hall of Famer, maybe not a Hall of Famer.

12:50

No.

12:50

In terms of the business of football, first ballot Hall of Famer, Kirk Cousins.

12:55

Yeah, no, he's done a nice job and I think you're right.

12:57

I also think like we picture Vegas, we, you know, have you been to Vegas, Billy?

13:03

I went to Vegas.

13:04

When was it three years ago for the Super Bowl?

13:06

But I stayed off of the street, the strip.

13:10

I was at the circus.

13:11

So I was over by old Vegas and free months, street, all that.

13:14

You're like a Vegas hipster.

13:16

I like that.

13:17

Well, it was where, you know, my job was signed my hotel.

13:19

So I was like, that's honestly, while I was there, I was like,

13:22

I wish you were staying at the strip because like that I want to go.

13:26

Look, I'm not very different from Fernando Mendoza.

13:29

I'm not going out there partaking in the vices of Sin City when I'm in Las Vegas.

13:35

You know, I was there.

13:35

I was like, you know what?

13:36

I want to go, I want to go to the Venetian.

13:38

I want to see like the canoe inside the hotel.

13:40

I want to go see the fountains out.

13:42

Plotting.

13:43

Oh, yeah.

13:43

Yeah.

13:44

I want to see these like typical things or six feet of Royce going on.

13:48

Like I want to see that Vegas.

13:49

Didn't see any of that Vegas.

13:51

Yeah.

13:52

The other thing is, you know, the reason I asked you is because I feel like we assume

13:56

that you go to Vegas for two or three days, you might have a certain

13:59

experience.

14:00

There are people living in Vegas who are not just like engaging, I would think, in debauchery

14:05

24-7.

14:06

Yeah.

14:07

So I think I think Mendoza is going to be okay where he can find people who might not

14:12

want to go out drinking, gambling, whatever else is happening.

14:16

Like he's going to be okay.

14:18

There are people who live there like they, you know, have like raising kids there.

14:21

It's not like everybody in Vegas is there and they're just at a poker table every night.

14:26

You know, so relax with that.

14:28

Stereotyping.

14:29

I think about Fernando Mendoza, she'll before we go off from him.

14:33

He's been down in Miami and he has been spotted around town.

14:37

He's already made it known.

14:38

I'm going to spend draft night here in Miami.

14:40

I guess he's done, you know, being up in Indiana and he's made his move back down here

14:46

and he's kind of been a man about town.

14:48

He has been spotted at some, you know, some locations that you have maybe some situations

14:55

where you're wondering.

14:57

There are other issues.

14:58

One place that he was already spotted at and I saw some paparazzi video of him that people

15:02

were taking cell phone videos when him unaware that they were taking videos of him kind of

15:07

a private moment, but, you know, sure enough someone's there with a cell phone taking

15:10

video.

15:11

He was at church.

15:12

So Fernando Mendoza is very back and he's going to Sunday church and he's been spotted

15:17

at church.

15:18

We all have different places.

15:19

So yeah, he's been there celebrating Easter with his family or whatever.

15:24

His video came out of that.

15:26

Then recently he was at a Miami heap game.

15:29

They gave him a jersey with his number on the back, his name on the back.

15:33

It ended up being maybe he wasn't just at the game.

15:36

His little brother who was, who I guess is in like middle school or something wants to

15:40

be a broadcast when he grows up.

15:41

So they had him there doing some stuff on the jumbo trunks who is supporting his brother.

15:46

So this Fernando Mendoza, he's making it hard to find the character issues.

15:51

You know what I mean?

15:52

You see and you're like, oh, I don't know.

15:54

Maybe this is a little bit of a risk here at the number one pick.

15:56

We have, you know, we know his talent.

15:58

Maybe we have certain questions about his abilities, but let's look for the off the field

16:02

stuff.

16:03

No one's found it yet.

16:04

No one's found the off the field stuff.

16:06

And usually that would have happened by now.

16:08

You know, we are what?

16:09

10 days away from the first round.

16:10

It hasn't happened yet.

16:11

Usually you get the anonymous scout saying, you know, X, Y, Z about every single player.

16:16

That has not happened yet with Mendoza.

16:19

I like him.

16:20

I'm rooting for him.

16:21

I, I, I feel like he seems like a nice guy.

16:23

I think he's authentic.

16:25

He seems like he works hard.

16:26

I hope he has a good time.

16:27

And the other thing, he's only, you're at the team you play for like five months out

16:31

of the season, you know, like then you go back and forth in the spring.

16:35

I get that, but it's not like you have to live there.

16:37

He can still go to his church there in Miami.

16:39

He can still go to heat games.

16:41

He's going to be okay.

16:42

So thumbs up.

16:44

Would you like to potentially bring him down and be the person to reveal to him?

16:50

I may have a character issue in him that we can reveal if you would like, but if you

16:54

don't want to, we don't have to.

16:55

Yeah.

16:56

Well, I like how you said, would I like to be that, it sounds like you're going to be

16:59

that person.

17:00

Well, but you are based, you know, in Miami, you have the college football connection.

17:05

So I feel like you probably are going to be in charge of this.

17:08

So you need to make a judgment call here.

17:10

I, of course, as someone who loves content would say, yes, here's the thing.

17:14

Okay.

17:15

When you turn on Netflix and you go to watch this show on Netflix, the face that appears

17:20

is your face.

17:21

So if this gets out and it's impacting his drafts, I trust you.

17:27

And then it comes out and it says the ringer NFL show and you know, the Mendoza family

17:31

is frantically looking to see this clip.

17:33

The first face they're going to see is yours and mine will be, well, the one that's delivering

17:37

the dirt, mine will probably be the forgot and one in the equation.

17:41

So I'm just, I'm letting, I may have some character issue things that we can reveal here,

17:47

but it may stick to you.

17:50

So I'm giving you, I'm giving you the out.

17:52

I'm comfortable with it.

17:53

I trust you.

17:54

Give it to me.

17:55

We're here to report the truth.

17:56

So we, we may, we may belong to similar circles, if you will.

18:02

Right.

18:03

We're both down here in Miami.

18:04

I don't know him.

18:05

He doesn't know me.

18:06

But you know, even big towns or small towns and you have, you know, mutual acquaintances

18:12

and the like and, uh, Fernando Mendoza went to the scene.

18:17

Same school that I went to.

18:19

Didn't really, I didn't know Christopher Columbus high school, not that school.

18:24

Oh, not that school.

18:26

Okay.

18:27

So here's the thing.

18:28

The school that I went to was a six through 12.

18:31

So you started in like middle school.

18:33

It's all boys school six through 12.

18:35

You start out there six, seven eight and then you do the high school 9, 10, 11, 12.

18:41

Bologna Jesuit is what it's called.

18:43

Okay.

18:44

So, the school that I went to was a, went to Bologna Jesuit.

18:47

Then Fernando Mendoza went to Christopher Columbus.

18:51

Now Christopher Columbus is by, by some known as the more athletically accomplished school,

18:59

let's say where maybe the other school is the more academically accomplished school.

19:04

You know, so for whatever reason and I haven't done a ton, I should have done more investigating.

19:11

What I've been told is maybe the switch was made from one to the other because of

19:15

potential playing time situation where in retrospect, you look back and you're like,

19:20

you had the number one pick in the NFL track in the high school trophy winner.

19:24

What was the coach thinking?

19:25

It's not getting this kind of playing time.

19:27

Who on earth was he behind that he didn't get playing time?

19:31

And maybe that's why the switch was made.

19:33

So that's the rumblings that I've heard is maybe that that's what happened.

19:37

But he went from one school to another and here's, here's another interesting fact about that.

19:44

Bologna Jesuit and Christopher Columbus are rivals.

19:48

So, she'll, this guy went and it's potentially a situation where when the going got tough

19:55

Fernando got going and he didn't stick around and go through the adversity and not only did he do that,

20:03

possibly even betrayed, betrayed his school by going and playing for a rival.

20:10

Now, I'm not saying that this should have him slide from the first pick to, you know,

20:15

the 15th pick or have a Larry M. Tundzel situation where it's like, whoa, major character issues,

20:20

but his permanent record is not unblemished as far as I'm concerned.

20:27

And there's lots of questions here as to what exactly went on there and why he felt that it was

20:32

right to leave one all-boy school and go to the rival all-boy school.

20:37

So something maybe some people should look into, you know, is he a foxhole guy?

20:42

Maybe not.

20:43

Maybe not.

20:44

Maybe not.

20:45

Perseverance, you know, things to a microwave society, you know, things don't go your way.

20:52

That's 60 say you're going to the next thing all of a sudden.

20:56

So I like that.

20:57

Maybe we've been pronouncing his name wrong the whole time.

20:59

Maybe it's not Fernando Mendoza is Fernando Midoza.

21:03

Wow.

21:04

Fernando Midoza.

21:06

Now, I just before we go to break, just want to make sure, Billy, because I did think you

21:10

made a valid point about the coach there, you know, you're not playing all due respect to

21:15

whether the coaches.

21:16

Sure he's doing.

21:17

I'm sure he's doing great.

21:18

Fantastic.

21:19

But when you're, yeah, I would think when you have the potentially the first round pick

21:24

in the NFL draft and that I hope whoever he was sitting behind,

21:29

was worthy, but I'm also a little concerned about you.

21:31

Now we all know you are, you had a very prolific athletic career as a pole vault or both

21:36

at the high school in the collegiate level.

21:38

Did you feel that you faced any of that when you were there where they were like, sorry,

21:43

you're not, you're not participating in this meet yet.

21:47

You got to earn your stripes.

21:48

Maybe it was a culture thing at your school, more so than a one off thing with Mendoza.

21:52

I didn't face those situations.

21:55

Okay.

21:56

But also, you know, as a pole vault, it's kind of like no one really is

21:59

paying attention to you anyways.

22:00

So it was fine, but I will say this in defense of the coach who, you know, maybe, maybe

22:05

overlooked Fernando Mendoza.

22:08

A great, a great number of coaches overlooked Fernando Mendoza.

22:12

I mean, he went and he played in Cal.

22:15

He didn't really get many offers out of high school.

22:17

Yeah.

22:18

I think it was.

22:19

Yeah.

22:20

Yeah.

22:21

He then goes over.

22:22

And if I'm going to be honest and this is another point of contention for me, you know,

22:25

I had someone look into the two four sevenths of the world and see like where the offers

22:30

were made and all that.

22:31

And then we, we had that wonderful story of, oh, he didn't really get any offers that

22:35

were made to him and he had to go to Cal and he had to walk on and this and that.

22:39

And I won't be hold when you, when you do a little bit of digging there, you find out

22:44

there was a school that did offer him.

22:47

And that school was FIU, which was my school, which he also spurned.

22:50

So it seems as though, you know, this is a nice guy, but he seems to be taking, I don't

22:54

know if he's doing it intentionally or unintentionally taking these little jabs at me saying, hey,

22:59

Billy, the life that you live, not good enough for me, I'm going to go this way.

23:02

I'm going to go that way.

23:03

I'm going to zig where you zag this.

23:05

So this guy, I'm keeping an eye on this Mendoza guy because here's the thing.

23:09

He went out there.

23:10

He went to Cal and then again, Fernando, me, Dosa said, you know what, Cal, thanks for

23:15

the memories.

23:16

I'm not going to go to Indiana and I'm going to head over there.

23:20

And in terms of like coaches overlooking his talent, if we remember, his father was

23:24

a teammate of who, Mario, Chris, so ball, right.

23:27

He then ended up playing in the national championship and sure, Mario, Chris, so ball went

23:31

out there and he threw a lot of money at Carson back because that was the diamond and the

23:35

rough that he thought he was going to get.

23:37

But you know, for him, it does what I like to come home to Miami and play for Mario,

23:41

Chris, so ball, his father's teammate.

23:43

And that didn't happen because then again, another coach overlooked him.

23:45

So, you know, this for an amendment does it might not be all that we think that he is,

23:50

you know, he's a complicated fellow here.

23:52

He's not just this guy that goes to church on Easter and you know, goes to, I don't

23:56

know if you saw the videos in Indiana, he would go like these, uh, he's like Christmas

24:00

festival, like craft festivals were like students were like taking his like, oh my god,

24:04

Fernando, man, Dosa's here.

24:06

And it's just like all like 80 year old women who have their like gingerbread houses and

24:09

stuff like he's just going around there.

24:11

So he has this nice guy thing, but I think there's a bad boy in him somewhere, you know.

24:15

So we, so we've uncovered that, you know, you are older than him.

24:19

We've uncovered that substantially.

24:21

All you go to a school and then he chose to go to another school.

24:24

I don't know.

24:25

I don't know that he was keeping an eye on me.

24:27

I just say, listen, just saying as an athletic great of the school and a man of media as

24:33

you have named me, it's possible that, you know, he was somewhat familiar with me and

24:38

he saw the choices that I had made and he said, you know what?

24:41

I can be better than Billy and that's what I'm saying.

24:44

I take offense to this somewhat.

24:45

You should, as you should, because then he gets offered from your school and he says,

24:50

not good enough for me.

24:51

So I think what we've uncovered is there's a little rivalry brewing between our very own

24:55

Billy Gill and Fernando Mendoza.

24:57

They might be in the same circles there in the Miami area, but if you are a Miami listener,

25:04

you're probably going to have to choose a side pretty soon, maybe between now and the

25:09

first round of the NFL draft.

25:11

All right, let's take a break.

25:12

What a deep wow.

25:14

Fernando Midoza, he says, I like that, you know.

25:18

All right, let's take a break.

25:19

We'll come back, we'll get to some more storylines that might or are you looking for support

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27:51

Or might not interest, Billy Gil.

27:54

All right, we're back here on the Ring or NFL show.

27:57

I do want to get to some of your other questions and storylines, Billy, but I was thinking about

28:03

whether this draft has a lot of juice.

28:06

Okay.

28:07

I went to the big board and there's a lot of big boards out there.

28:10

You guys have covered this on Ring or Tailgate.

28:12

We've got Danny Kelly's big board on the Ring or Todd McShay's big board on the Ring

28:17

or now Joel Anderson comes out with his own big board and now it's just being about

28:22

choosing sides.

28:23

Mendoza or Billy Gil, now I sit the Ring or which big board are we actually going by?

28:29

What's the official big board?

28:30

That's something we can get to as well.

28:32

But I was going through and I was like, all right, let me see.

28:34

What are the big storylines here?

28:36

I can ask Billy Gil about and I went through and I instead, you know, titled this portion

28:43

of the pod, storylines that the average fan probably doesn't find interesting with the

28:49

end of the draft.

28:50

Because I was like, these are things, you know, when I'm in my football bubble, it's like,

28:54

oh, you know, and then I was like, I actually don't know if the every man fan would care

28:59

about any of these.

29:00

So I'm going to give these to you and you tell me, I'll just run through all of them.

29:04

And then at the end, you tell me, are any of these actually interesting?

29:07

Or do you agree with me that this draft might lack some juice here?

29:10

Okay.

29:11

You ready?

29:12

I'm excited.

29:13

I'm going to write this down.

29:14

I got my pen here.

29:15

Well, there's going to be a lot.

29:16

You're probably going to be able to.

29:17

I'm going to forget is a thing if I'm going to be honest, my memory is not where it used

29:20

to be.

29:21

Okay.

29:22

Are here some storylines.

29:23

Does it make sense to spend a high pick on a running pack?

29:27

That's one storyline.

29:28

Of course, Jeremiah Love, Notre Dame, some people say he's the best player in the draft,

29:32

many nerds like me say you can't spend a five top five pick on a running back.

29:35

What are we doing here?

29:36

That's one is our Vell Reese from Ohio State, more of a past Russia.

29:41

We're an off ball linebacker.

29:42

Oh, I mean, I don't know.

29:44

Does that have juice?

29:45

We'll say does it make sense to spend a top five pick on a safety or a linebacker?

29:51

So you got sunny styles.

29:52

You got Caleb down.

29:53

There was all these guys are awesome.

29:55

College football fans agree.

29:56

NFL fans agree.

29:57

And then it's like, well, I don't know.

29:58

Do you actually spend a top pick on one of those positions?

30:00

You got that.

30:01

How scared off should teams be with Jordan Tyson's medical history?

30:07

I don't even know if Billy's aware of this.

30:08

Jordan Tyson, great wide receiver, but it's like he doesn't play it a lot.

30:12

He gets injured on.

30:13

No, he had a lot other things.

30:16

Maybe he had mono.

30:17

I don't know.

30:18

He had other things as well.

30:19

Kissing disease.

30:20

Okay.

30:21

Yeah.

30:22

College.

30:23

Yeah.

30:24

Listen, we were all young once.

30:25

All right.

30:26

Would you take your mod McCoy early, even though we didn't play football last year?

30:30

This is the corner back.

30:31

He got injured at the end of 2024.

30:33

Didn't participate in 2025.

30:35

And now people are saying maybe he'll be a top 20 fix.

30:37

All right.

30:38

A couple more here for you.

30:39

Wow.

30:40

Seven offensive tackles could go in the first round.

30:43

Is that moving the needle?

30:45

Is that getting the downloads and the page views and the social media engagement?

30:51

Billy will tell us in a second.

30:52

And then the last one, you alluded to this one earlier.

30:55

Ty Simpson.

30:56

I mean, Billy, I went through the whole thing.

30:59

And I'm like, these are actually the most interesting things in the first round.

31:03

These don't have a lot of juice.

31:04

Billy's not going to find any of these interesting.

31:06

Am I right?

31:07

Am I wrong?

31:08

Is there something in any of those storylines that you say you're wrong, Shia?

31:11

That actually is interesting.

31:13

Well, okay.

31:15

So if we're going in order, I guess you don't have to do all of it.

31:18

Okay.

31:19

Good.

31:20

We want to all of them.

31:21

No.

31:22

So just anything in there.

31:23

Yeah.

31:24

The high pick on the running back, right?

31:25

The running back position is interesting.

31:27

Because at one point, the running back was very valuable.

31:30

And then we went through all the years where the running back was very replaceable.

31:34

And then the last two seasons or so, you had a very strong running back free agent class

31:39

like two seasons ago.

31:41

And then slowly we've been seeing more money thrown towards the running backs in free agency.

31:47

But do you spend a high pick where you guarantee the money to the running back early on?

31:51

Or then do you kind of try to get one at value so you don't need to be overpaying the

31:55

running back?

31:56

Running back has been going up and down in terms of relevance and importance to a team.

32:01

And I feel like we're training back up, right?

32:04

And you could take a running back high if you feel like it's the right pick.

32:07

How do you feel about the team that just goes after best available?

32:13

And then they're like, well, figure it out after.

32:16

There's no such thing.

32:17

This is what you, I'm like to say this time of year.

32:19

And it's never true.

32:20

It's like, if you have Patrick Mahomes and you're best available as a quarterback, you're

32:24

not taking the quarterback.

32:25

If you have a great left tackle and right tackle and you're best available as a tackle,

32:32

you're not taking the tackle.

32:34

So GM's like to lie all the time about that.

32:36

I feel like I've been pretty consistent with the running backs.

32:39

It's like, I love Jeremiah Love.

32:41

Looks great.

32:42

Hope he has a wonderful career.

32:43

If I were a GM, there's no chance I'm taking him early in the draft.

32:47

So I think some of the things you said, maybe we can get to a point where there's this

32:50

idea, Billy, that the offensive line in the scheme, that kind of sets the floor of whether

32:56

your run game's going to be good or not.

32:58

But then if you have the dynamic running back and you have those other things in place,

33:02

now all of a sudden, it can elevate it to even a more explosive running game.

33:07

So honestly, I feel like we've all said what we need to say about the running back stuff.

33:12

You know, I don't know that anyone's changing anyone's mind at this point.

33:15

No one's certainly changing my mind.

33:17

I don't need to change anyone else's mind.

33:19

So if that's one of the most interesting things about this draft, it's almost like it

33:22

was like last year when it was like, man, the biggest story in the NFL is Daniel Jones.

33:27

Like does this season suck?

33:29

Yeah.

33:30

One of those.

33:31

Are we possibly, and I don't, I don't mean to offend anyone here.

33:36

I don't want to upset you or any of the listeners, you okay?

33:39

Are we getting to a point where we may have pre-draft fatigue where we are, oh, you're

33:46

recovering the draft a little bit.

33:49

Raise your hand.

33:50

Here's something that I have seen this year where I was like, come on, which is we talked

33:56

about all the big boards, the Godfather of the draft, the Godfather of the big board,

34:01

Mel Kuiper Jr.

34:02

I've already started seeing this year already the stories of our people finally seeing

34:08

what Mel Kuiper saw before everyone else or something along those lines is like Mel

34:13

knew what this draft was going to be before anyone else knew what it could be.

34:17

And it's kind of like, this is, I think, the third or fourth year in a row where we're

34:22

putting out this exact same story.

34:24

Well, Mel Kuiper is the guy who essentially invented the draft and draft coverage and no

34:29

one believes in it as a TV product and a media product quite like Mel Kuiper did.

34:34

And it's like, I got it.

34:37

But we still have two weeks to the draft and we did this last year and we did this

34:41

a year before.

34:42

I love Mel.

34:43

It seems like a great guy.

34:45

We've had him on different shows that I've been on over the years very nice.

34:48

He goes out there and he has his months that he just goes out on his boats there in Maryland

34:52

and he loves it, right?

34:54

But kind of a quirky guy too with his, you know, his pumpkin pie or whatever it is that

34:59

he eats.

35:00

Right.

35:01

But also we're two weeks away from the draft.

35:02

Why are we putting out this story again?

35:04

We keep doing this every single year.

35:05

Wait, what's the story?

35:06

I don't know what you're talking about just that the draft is a big thing and Mel Kuiper

35:10

knew it was going to be a big thing.

35:11

It's basically like the story.

35:12

I didn't even know what you were talking about.

35:14

Yeah, I'll send it to you.

35:16

Every year we have it come out.

35:17

For someone writes a profile on Mel Kuiper Jr.

35:20

And it's basically, he saw what the draft could become before anyone else did and he put

35:26

his focus on the draft and made it a year long thing before anyone else.

35:30

And I feel like maybe, maybe we've gone a little bit too far because we still have two

35:36

weeks of the draft and to your point, there's not the huge storylines out there yet.

35:42

I mean, we have kind of like some breaking news that have come out this week with Ruben

35:45

Bain that that might impact his draft stock.

35:47

Right.

35:48

And there's more news to come on that front.

35:50

But you know, it's still a situation where we don't have all the information.

35:53

So I had a speculating on how that's going to impact his draft is somewhat reckless at

35:56

this point with the information that we have.

35:58

But over the next two weeks, stuff is going to be coming out on different guys that may

36:04

push them down the slide.

36:05

Maybe now we look more at tape or someone falls in love with this one or this person.

36:10

You know, their agent is whispering sweet nothings into this GM's ears and then all of a sudden

36:14

they go to our rocket ship and they're flying up people's drafts.

36:18

Here's the thing about the mock drafts.

36:20

There's a 1.0, there's a 2.0 and they go up to like 7, 8, 9.0.

36:25

And we know the 1.0 and the 2.0.

36:27

Sometimes if we're going to like reveal the secrets of the audience, those are put out

36:31

there knowing we got to get to a 7.0.

36:35

So like my 1.0, my 1.0 is going to be moving up and down.

36:39

My 2.0 is going to be moving around because we got to get to draft a 7.0.

36:43

And if this is the same all the way through, no one's kind of coming in and checking on

36:47

what our 1.0's and our 2.0's are doing.

36:50

Where's your mock draft, by the way, Sheila?

36:52

Why don't you have a mock draft?

36:54

We did a combo mock draft on the Ring of NFL show.

36:58

So if you're yelling at your phone or your Apple CarPlayer whatever, saying you have a

37:03

crit, I just listen to you do four hours on a mock draft and now you're saying draft content

37:09

has gotten out of control or whatever it is.

37:11

I understand, but I actually do tend to agree with you.

37:14

And I was trying to think about this earlier today, as we prepared for the show that there's

37:19

so much out there now.

37:21

You mentioned Kuiper was ahead of the curve that no, there's a huge interest in the draft.

37:26

You got to televised, you got to do all these different things with it.

37:28

He was right about that.

37:30

To your point, all right, we get that by now, perhaps.

37:33

But it's a little overwhelming because there's so much out there and I do feel like there's

37:38

sort of an echo chamber with a lot of it, whether you're mentioning big boards or mock

37:44

drafts.

37:45

And I think by main issue and why I get annoyed every time around this year is that how

37:48

confident everyone is.

37:51

Everyone has total amnesia about how bad they were at it the previous year.

37:55

And I don't mean like they're specifically bad at it, just that it's hard.

37:58

Like it's very difficult to project this guy's going to be.

38:01

But then we get to this point in the year and you pull up all these mock drafts, all

38:05

these big boards and the biggest difference will be like, oh, someone has someone at four

38:10

and someone has someone at nine.

38:11

How does everyone agree on the top 20 prospects in the draft?

38:14

That seems like it shouldn't be the case.

38:16

So I was wondering this Billy, we always, we like to give advice to the young content

38:20

creators out there.

38:22

I feel like there needs to be more of an accountability with this.

38:26

Maybe a relegation out there.

38:29

Now listen, I'm open to anyone doing it.

38:31

Because like I get stuff wrong all the time, but I feel like at least then I can come

38:34

on here and be like, oh my god, I thought Sam Darnold was going to stink.

38:37

I thought the siaksa and then I have to account for everyone's yelling at me.

38:41

I think that's good.

38:42

But I feel like with the draft that doesn't happen because you have all your takes one

38:45

year and then you might be totally wrong on a bunch of them and then you get to the next

38:49

year and then we all just assume you're the expert.

38:51

So is there a way for a young content creator out there and they don't even have to be

38:55

young?

38:56

I would say anyone with free time who knows that I put together a spreadsheet.

38:58

Let's track everyone and say, all right.

39:01

Okay, we have a five year tracker.

39:02

This person said this, you know, whatever and they nailed it with that.

39:06

I feel like every draft analyst should have to have like three takes that nobody else

39:10

has.

39:11

There are more takes like you were mentioned or last year earlier, at least you know what?

39:15

Go out on it.

39:16

You got to go out on limb with three of them and then we'll track them for five or ten

39:19

years and we'll see if anyone actually knows what they're talking about.

39:22

Your thoughts.

39:23

Okay.

39:24

Here's my question to you in terms of tracking.

39:25

Why was I yelling?

39:26

I shouldn't be that fired up about that.

39:27

Listen, it's draft time.

39:28

I get it.

39:29

He is like very energized.

39:31

Here's a thing about accountability and draft tracking and I wonder where you fall on

39:37

this situation because to your point, a lot of people are just faking it.

39:41

If we're going to be perfectly honest with you, you know, the make shades of the world,

39:45

the kipers of the world, they're out there and this is their thing all year long and they're

39:51

grinding tape and they're doing all the stuff that they do and they're in their basements

39:55

and they're, you know, neglecting their families or whatever it is that they do to spend

39:58

all of this time watching all of this stuff, right?

40:01

But for the most part, everyone else is like, I watched last college season.

40:06

This is what makes sense to me.

40:07

You know, like, they're not deep diving.

40:09

They're not following these kids from like, you know, second grade, talking to their elementary

40:13

school teachers, seeing how they were in PE class.

40:15

None of that stuff, right?

40:17

And I'll share with you.

40:19

She'll, last year I was tasked at my previous job with hosting.

40:24

The last two years, I was tasked with hosting a draft watch along.

40:29

So while the draft is going on, I was there somewhat hosting the situation and kind of

40:35

setting up here's the stories who we think might be picked by this team, that team and

40:39

you're kind of, you do the research and it was just for the first round.

40:43

So you go to the first round to your point, you look up like the 35 guys that it's going

40:49

to be, right?

40:50

Because you have everyone like you mentioned, as the same like 30 guys, just slightly, one

40:55

has them at six, one has them at eight, one has a four, one has a seven, right?

40:59

But for the most part, it's like the same 32 guys.

41:01

And then at the tail end, you'll have like four guys that are different.

41:05

So you can get away with a first round like draft situation where you only really look

41:10

into like 36 people, maybe 40, if you're feeling crazy, right?

41:15

But I'm not going to go and I'm not going to grind tape.

41:18

So what do I do?

41:19

I go out there and for a month, I just start going, I listen to every episode of Todd

41:24

McShay and I go and I take my notes on Todd McShay's notes and I go out there and I hear

41:28

Kipa and I take my notes on what Kipa said and I go out there to Dane Brugler and I see

41:33

that he's releasing the beast.

41:34

Brugler, yeah.

41:35

Brugler, yeah, it doesn't matter.

41:36

Listen, the important thing about that is just that his research is called the beast.

41:41

And if you're connected, you can get the beast, not as a PDF in print and it's like 600

41:47

pages long, right?

41:49

So I go through the beast and I'm taking notes in the margins and I'm highlighting and I'm

41:53

doing this, I'm doing that.

41:55

I'm making sure I know these 40 guys at the beginning of the draft so that when we get

42:00

through the first round, I at least faked it enough so that you think like, wow, Billy,

42:04

really knows guard playing.

42:05

It's like, no, I know like four guards and I know it based on my own like combination

42:11

of research that other people did.

42:13

For going to be honest, that's what most people are doing here, right?

42:17

They're going out there and they're seeing what's going on and they're kind of making

42:20

there informed opinions based on what's happening.

42:24

But no one's really doing the deep dives except like four people out there, right?

42:28

I was going to say 10.

42:29

Yeah, I was like, how many of you like, I feel like if we just needed 10, we've got Danny

42:33

Kelly and Dei, doing the ranger draft, God, you mentioned, Mick Shea, you mean, I feel

42:38

like we should I should I just need I don't know, I don't want to just need everybody

42:41

to agree.

42:42

There are people I like, you know, Dan Brugler does a fantastic job.

42:45

My friends.

42:46

He cares about the bees.

42:47

He's awesome.

42:48

He's on the beast.

42:49

My friend, Frank Delphi from all city, he does a great job and we need Tyson at the Super

42:53

Boy.

42:54

He does a week.

42:55

So we could I could probably give you and I probably left someone out.

42:57

I apologize.

42:58

One of my friends, but I don't know who it was, but I'm sure I left someone out.

43:01

I was your friends do a great job.

43:03

You all do a great job.

43:04

But you I feel like we need 10, we need like 10 people.

43:06

Yeah.

43:07

And then everyone else like I'm good.

43:08

You know, let's just these 10 people are really going to get into it and they're going

43:12

to watch them and they're going to research and they're going to look at historical

43:14

precedent and they know what they're talking about.

43:17

Let's go with what those 10 say.

43:20

And you know, but see, but then I don't want to discourage people from doing it.

43:23

If you love it, you should do it.

43:25

Just me as a content consumer, me as a consumer.

43:28

I only need like the 10 is what I'm saying.

43:30

I'm discouraging anyone from doing these things until you and I are out of the game.

43:35

You know what I mean?

43:36

I like that.

43:37

We're only these young people coming up and the river snappers coming up and you know,

43:41

coming and taking our job to you.

43:43

Stay out of the game.

43:44

We got the 10 that are covering it already and those are the mama birds and they are feeding

43:48

us baby birds, the information that we need to know.

43:51

And then we are consuming the information and we are getting the nutrition and then we

43:56

are putting our own little spin on it and putting it out to the masses.

43:59

Do I then go look at like Dan or Lovsky or Danny Kelly's list and say, you know what,

44:06

they have this person.

44:07

They're one of them has them at four, one of them has a six.

44:10

You know what I'm going to do?

44:11

I'm going to put them right smack dab in the middle at five.

44:13

That's what I'm going to do.

44:14

Well, this is the next thing I wanted to ask you about.

44:16

I'm glad you brought this up.

44:18

So what you're doing and I may or may not do this too, I may or may not have a spreadsheet

44:22

here to my side.

44:24

Have you heard of the idea of the consensus board, Billy?

44:27

Are you familiar with this or not?

44:29

I like this idea.

44:30

I think it's a piece together based on context.

44:33

You can piece it together.

44:34

Yeah.

44:35

Okay.

44:36

So I believe Arifa Saan, I think he was the first person to put this together online

44:40

where he said, I'm going to take every freaking big board out there.

44:44

I don't care.

44:45

It's like this 300 and I'm going to make an average.

44:48

And so we're going to come up with a composite ranking of whatever the top 150 players.

44:54

So if one guy had someone at four, another one had one at 11, you know, you're putting

44:58

that all together.

44:59

And then they kind of looked at this for a while and it was like, is this sort of outperforming

45:05

actual some NFL teams, Billy, where they're pouring all these over.

45:09

These resources, scouting and research and analytics and coaches get involved in GMs.

45:17

And you know, sometimes this doesn't happen as often anymore.

45:19

But remember, like back in the day, remember that when remember when the Patriots took

45:23

Cole Strange, remember that one, that guard.

45:26

And then they asked like McVeigh, you know, McVeigh afterwards might have had a couple

45:30

of drinks or whatever, his press conference, he's like, they took Cole Strange in the first

45:34

we loved him, but we were going to take him in like the third.

45:37

So those outlier picks were all of a sudden you're just so shocked on day one.

45:41

That oh my gosh, there's this crazy pick here.

45:44

Those don't happen as often.

45:45

And teams are incorporating these consensus boards.

45:49

So they might have their own.

45:50

All right, here's our rankings of these players based on our scouts, Jim.

45:54

But then we're also going to use this consensus board just to get kind of capture all the information

45:59

out there.

46:00

What do you think of that idea?

46:01

I think it's been a great sort of innovation in the draft space.

46:06

I saw not just consensus boards, but I saw articles being written, Shield, and I don't

46:11

want to alarm your panic at all.

46:14

I saw articles being written about how teams are incorporating AI in their draft plans

46:19

now and how they're going.

46:21

And like, let's say this guy decided he's not going to run the 40 well.

46:24

We have plenty of tape and we can use AI to measure certain things and we can get a more

46:29

accurate number of what is 40 time might actually be.

46:32

So influencers out there, content creators out there, just know it's not just us who

46:37

are rooting against you and your future endeavors.

46:40

It's also the NFL teams out there already saying, you know, we don't even need your thoughts.

46:45

We're going to go to AI.

46:46

The last generation of thoughts that we need are shields and billies and Nate Tyson, Danny

46:51

Kelly's.

46:52

Their thoughts were fine with everyone after that.

46:54

Forget about it.

46:55

We're going to AI.

46:56

We're going to the robots.

46:57

We don't need you anymore.

46:58

How do you, can I just, let me ask you a question.

47:01

Let me take a break.

47:02

We'll take a break.

47:03

We come back.

47:04

You asked me a question and then I had another question for you on this same topic as someone

47:08

who knows nothing about AI.

47:09

I had an AI related question for you.

47:11

We'll do that when we come back.

47:13

All right.

47:14

We're back on the ringer NFL show.

47:15

All right.

47:16

What was your question for me?

47:17

I mean, what a tease we kept everyone listening through that.

47:20

So when we're talking about grading people and how they did on the draft predictions, how

47:27

much, I guess, how exact is their hit need to be?

47:31

So I asked that meaning, let's say they hit the player at a number, but that player was

47:40

taken by another team because the team traded that pick.

47:43

Or let's say you have like, I don't know, the Colts taking a wide receiver at 11 or whatever

47:48

number the Colts were picking at, right?

47:50

And the Colts trade down to 16 and they take the person that you thought, but it's five

47:55

picks later than you predicted.

47:56

Do you count that as a hit or not a hit?

47:59

So I think there's two ways, two things we're looking at.

48:02

One is, are you somebody who's out here saying, I'm grinding the film or whatever, I can evaluate

48:07

talent.

48:08

You know, I can just look at someone and the kind of the, you know, the cutter there.

48:12

Gibb said, did I use that right?

48:13

I think so.

48:14

Okay.

48:15

I can look at the guy and tell their player, whatever, whatever method you're using, you're

48:18

saying, I have my own rankings.

48:21

And this is how good I think every player is going to be.

48:23

So you can do it that way and then you can compare from five years down the road where

48:27

they write on better than the league average, worse than the league average or whatever.

48:30

But then the thing you're talking about, I think, is the projections of where guys are

48:34

going to go, which is more of a, I think like, do you know the league?

48:39

Do you have connections in the league?

48:41

Is there a GM telling you, no, I know all the media loves that guy, but we have X, Y,

48:46

and Z concerns about him and he's not going to go.

48:48

So I think you have to look at it both ways to determine who we're going to relegate

48:52

and take away their ability to create content.

48:55

We have to be cautious and make sure we know what we're actually grading them on.

49:00

But when you mentioned the AI thing, again, I know nothing about AI, but I was thinking

49:05

like, if you looked at certain cliches you used on players in draft reports, like high

49:11

floor low ceiling, do you remember who they said that about a few years ago?

49:15

I read a lot.

49:16

Who's a high floor low ceiling?

49:19

Jackson Smith and Jigbaugh, who is now like the highest paid wider seeker in the NFL.

49:24

So you had that, then you have plug and play, which I swear if you're a guard, then we

49:28

just plug and play guard.

49:29

It's not that hard.

49:30

You just got to get, got to get there in the middle and push guys around.

49:33

Anyone can do that.

49:34

If you can do that in college, you're fine.

49:35

So you have all those, I wonder if teams took draft reports and we're like, which players

49:40

did we say this about over the last 20 years and how many of those were accurate, how

49:45

many of those were good players?

49:47

What is the profile of a guy we said was plug and play?

49:50

They could probably learn some things.

49:52

I feel like doing that.

49:53

It's got to be a way to do that, right?

49:54

I think so.

49:55

I saw commercial.

49:56

I don't remember what it was for.

49:57

I think it must have been a technology company or something, right?

50:01

And they were basically like showing how teams were, it seemed like a mock NFL draft situation,

50:07

right, where they had them and they had all their notes on their certain players and

50:10

like, who is it that we're going to take or whatever?

50:12

And they were like touting the use of technology in AI or whatever.

50:15

And it seemed like it was just like an Excel spreadsheet that they were using.

50:19

We're like, we need a guy with a great motor and a this and a that and whatever.

50:23

And it basically was like taking out like the people that didn't have like the high motor

50:28

classification on them, whatever.

50:29

And like, this is your pick.

50:30

And it's like, I feel like this is just like, and this isn't AI.

50:34

This is just like a key word search on your notes on like a spreadsheet, right?

50:38

It might work.

50:40

Yeah, I guess it's hard.

50:42

The point is it's very hard.

50:43

Like you were saying like the baseline, it's about what?

50:45

40% of the picks in the first round will actually be qualities, just quality starters,

50:51

not like all pros or hall of famers.

50:53

You know, at this time of year, it's just like, this guy's going to be, I'm so sure this

50:56

guy's going to be incredible.

50:57

This guy's going to be incredible.

50:59

And then I do find it interesting the scout stuff, Billy.

51:03

So I'm going to read you this thing I read in the beast here.

51:05

Oh, the beast.

51:08

A scout said this because I want to get your take on if someone said this about you,

51:12

who, you know, one of your loved ones, how would you feel?

51:15

You're sort of this scout say, and I'm not going to tell you the player to the scout say

51:20

his practice habits have matured.

51:23

And that quote, he is learning to love the process and quote, when you hear that, are

51:32

it, is that a positive, a negative, a neutral like what's your reaction to that?

51:39

Do you want me to read it?

51:40

I'll read it one more time.

51:41

I don't say his practice habits have matured and that quote, he is learning to love the

51:47

process and quote, it's a, it's a very backhanded compliment.

51:52

It seems like it seems like it's like, you know, school's not for everyone.

51:57

It's like, wait, wait, what does that mean?

51:59

Hold on a second.

52:00

I don't like that.

52:02

It's like, this person has potential.

52:04

They were there was a disaster years ago.

52:06

But now it's like sides, maybe this person can be competent.

52:09

Whether shoes, yeah, like if you tell them to get somewhere like they might be late,

52:14

but they will eventually get there.

52:16

So that was about David Bailey, who is potentially going to be a top five pick.

52:21

So even when it feels like they're not ripping the player out honestly, I read something

52:26

like that and then I'm like, man, I actually don't think that sounds great that he's now

52:29

learning to love the process here.

52:32

How do you feel about the beast and the PDF version?

52:36

I'm assuming you're going to the PDF version of the beast, right?

52:39

No, I used to, but now I just go on the athletic and you don't.

52:42

I, I, this is the first year.

52:45

I just, I'm reading it as it is online.

52:47

I feel like it's beautiful actually.

52:49

They didn't make a job.

52:50

Yeah.

52:50

So like a lot of these things that are put out as PDFs instead of like a hard cop, because

52:55

I guess it's like, why are we going to waste all of this time and effort printing out all

52:58

of this stuff?

52:59

The only thing I print is coaching soccer the lineup because I don't want to be looking

53:06

at my phone the whole time.

53:07

Wait, are you, are you ahead coach for

53:09

soccer this year for the first time?

53:10

Why and how did that go?

53:12

We're struggling, but you know, one of us last weekend, but we're going to bounce back,

53:16

you know, what age group is this?

53:17

It's just an intermural.

53:18

It's 11 to 14.

53:19

Yeah.

53:20

Okay.

53:20

Oh, well, it's very relaxed.

53:21

That's a wide range.

53:22

No practice.

53:23

Yeah, it's got like no practice.

53:25

No, it's like if you don't want to, if you're not really into soccer, it's like if you

53:29

don't love travel and all that, but you kind of just want to play a pick up game once

53:33

a week, that's what it is.

53:34

So it's very low stakes here.

53:36

Can I tell you something and don't take this the wrong way?

53:38

Okay.

53:39

It sounds like the players that come out of this team are going to get the David Bailey

53:43

assessment a couple years down the road.

53:45

Like, I started to understand the practice and the process, but they didn't really get

53:49

it at the beginning.

53:50

They might say that about the coach for quite honestly.

53:52

All right, Billy, any other storylines with this year, we went all over the place, but

53:57

I'm glad we got to talk about the draft content machine.

54:01

If our friends at the press box are listening and you want to use some of those clips, you

54:05

know, because I do feel like there were some media analysis in that they had milk

54:08

hyper junior on recently, great interview there.

54:11

They're allowed to use that.

54:12

But are there any other draft storylines you wanted to hit on before we say goodbye?

54:16

I feel like we're going to get to them, right?

54:18

I think that it's not time to judge whether or not this is a good draft based on the stories

54:24

that are out here, what 10 days away, week and a half away.

54:28

As it gets closer, I feel like they're going to present themselves.

54:31

I'm kind of wondering your thoughts overall on the draft.

54:34

Now there were like what?

54:36

I feel like 10 years now removed, I think, from having the draft in different cities out

54:40

of New York, radacity, musical, whatever.

54:43

It became like this touring road show.

54:46

This year makes it stop at Pittsburgh, which has, I think, the 21st pick in the draft.

54:50

Mike McCarthy is their head coach now, and we still don't know what's going on with

54:55

their quarterback and Aaron Rogers.

54:56

So, while it should be like a festive celebration, doesn't seem like Pittsburgh is all that

55:01

invested in this draft and hosting.

55:03

I guess people will come from cities all around to celebrate their teams.

55:06

But how do you feel about like draft day, the live draft process?

55:12

And what is your draft day and draft experience like?

55:14

Are you like a party guy?

55:16

Are you taking notes?

55:17

Are you checking off your boards and your projections?

55:20

Billy I host the Ringer NFL show.

55:22

So these are work days for me during the draft.

55:25

Now before that, when I was a fan, I wasn't like the biggest draft guy where I'm like,

55:29

I'm going to sit here the entire time.

55:32

Remember, it used to be on Saturday and Sunday.

55:34

You might be too young for that.

55:35

Do you remember that?

55:36

I don't know if you remember that or people I've told you about that.

55:38

No, I remember that it was a weekend thing.

55:40

And I remember that there was like the parents of like friends of mine and stuff like that

55:45

would all get together and watch all the days of the drafts.

55:49

And they really wanted to see who the dolphins were going to take.

55:52

Okay.

55:53

Like a two day affair where everyone would get just the parents would get together and like

55:58

get the like get the brats out of here.

56:00

We don't have time to watch our children.

56:01

We need to lock you on the draft today.

56:03

They took it seriously.

56:04

They did take it too.

56:05

That's why I'm wondering you as a man of football, how you do this.

56:08

No, yeah.

56:09

I didn't do that back in the day when I was a fan now.

56:12

Yeah.

56:13

Now as I've been working in it over the years.

56:15

Now if you cover a team, you go to the team facility.

56:17

It's usually pretty relaxed.

56:18

They sometimes Billy don't tell anyone.

56:20

They'll open up the cafeteria for you for the media.

56:23

Like the only time it's kind of fun to do that.

56:25

And then you watch the draft and then the GM or the scouts come out afterwards.

56:30

They get the player on the line.

56:31

You know, and you all gather around a phone and you call him.

56:34

So that way I always enjoyed covering the draft.

56:37

Like you said, it used to be Saturday and Sunday.

56:39

And I wanted to ask you this actually because we're talking now about NFL games.

56:46

And are they going to be on Thursday?

56:47

And are they going to experiment with Tuesday?

56:50

I'm actually shocked, Billy, that they have not done this with the draft yet.

56:54

And I've pitched this before.

56:56

But like there's all this lead up to it.

56:58

And we just talked about it.

56:59

Plus, it's in minuses.

57:01

It might be for you.

57:02

It might not be for you.

57:03

But the actual draft is only three days.

57:05

And is that the best way to actually do it?

57:07

Like what if they started the draft every year on April 1st?

57:12

Oh.

57:13

And they said, we're going to do one pick a night.

57:18

On televised.

57:19

Get your bids out.

57:21

Everybody who wants a piece of the NFL.

57:22

We're going to televised it.

57:24

One pick every single day.

57:26

And so a player gets picked.

57:28

We all analyze it.

57:29

We start thinking about who's going to get picked second.

57:31

And the second pick it.

57:32

And the next day, so it's the whole month of April is the NFL draft.

57:37

And they just kind of want to say, own the month of April.

57:39

We still have baseball starting and get the masters last week.

57:43

March madness.

57:44

Yeah, but it's a little bit.

57:45

It's yeah, in April the end of it.

57:47

But it's just sort of like the NFL saying, let's spread this out a little bit more.

57:52

You know, they can sell it like we wanted to give every prospect their own day.

57:55

You know, they work really hard for this.

57:57

We don't want it to be rushed.

57:58

So you do that kind of thing.

58:00

So you could do that or you could do just a week.

58:04

And you say every round is a day.

58:06

So maybe it starts on Monday, Monday or maybe it's Sunday, whatever.

58:10

It's the first round to the next day, it's the second round.

58:13

And you do around a day rather than squeeze everything in to three days here.

58:19

It's only a matter of time, right?

58:20

I might be a grandpa or something by the time it actually happens.

58:23

But that is going to happen eventually, I feel like.

58:25

So I was going to ask, so if it's the April plan is the April, just the first round and

58:29

then like you have a lightning two through seven rounds or then how do you stagger that?

58:34

No.

58:35

Okay.

58:36

Every.

58:37

Okay.

58:38

Okay.

58:39

Now I say what you're saying.

58:40

Okay.

58:41

Because then yeah, the rounds two through seven, how would you know, I had it.

58:43

What if those are all like, what if those are like, okay.

58:45

So April, like, what is it?

58:48

I guess you do 32 days.

58:49

So it carries over into May.

58:51

Three days one pick and then like May 3rd or whatever it is when you would reach round

58:56

two.

58:57

It's rounds two through seven all on one day.

59:00

It's lightning.

59:01

The rest of the draft.

59:02

That sounds great.

59:03

I love it.

59:04

Okay.

59:05

Then all you're like you said, all your friends, your friends, parents, they all get together.

59:09

This is the day.

59:10

Block this off this day because we're the real draft people and we're going to do every

59:14

pick in one day.

59:16

Yeah.

59:17

Two through seven started early.

59:18

Like they use it.

59:19

You start at like 11 a.m.

59:20

Start at 11 a.m. and get going there.

59:23

You can also.

59:24

You can also.

59:25

You can also probably skip like, I don't need to watch day 22 of the draft, you know, like

59:31

I don't need to know who the 22nd pick is.

59:33

Yeah.

59:34

Find out.

59:35

Not a position that we're interested in.

59:37

Like, not that important.

59:38

I could skip around.

59:39

So it won't be that exhausting because you can kind of like check in and check out as

59:42

it kind of suits you there.

59:43

Yeah.

59:44

Okay.

59:45

So you're in on it.

59:46

It sounds fun.

59:47

I'm not saying that I was thinking.

59:48

Let's say we stick to everything being exactly as it is, right?

59:51

Okay.

59:52

But to your point, the NFL is always kind of about, you know, good or bad.

59:57

How do we, how do we make an extra buck here or there, right?

1:00:00

Of course.

1:00:01

What if we get into a situation where we have the NFL draft selling the picks to networks?

1:00:11

So you're not watching it all on ESPN or you're not watching it all on NFL network.

1:00:18

You're watching picks one through three on peacock this year and picks four through seven

1:00:22

or on, you know, CBS and then eight and nine are on Apple TV and go to Netflix for pick

1:00:30

11 and 12.

1:00:31

You really confuse everybody because it's hard enough to figure out where the games are

1:00:34

now, but you have a draft where you're like, we're going to maximum make money off of

1:00:38

this and confuse everyone.

1:00:39

So they don't know where they're going to watch these picks.

1:00:42

Wait, that's, but you're keeping the draft how it is now.

1:00:45

Yeah.

1:00:46

Just changing switch.

1:00:47

No, no, no, no, no, no, no, everybody involved like, oh my God, what are we going to do?

1:00:52

Oh, look, here's K Adams talking about this.

1:00:54

And here's, you know, boomer, a science and talking about that.

1:00:57

No, look, Shannon sharps back.

1:00:59

And he's like, you know what I mean?

1:01:00

And just we're jumping all over the place getting people unless Netflix wants that Billy,

1:01:04

I don't want that.

1:01:05

I think, right?

1:01:06

That's how we feel about it, I think.

1:01:08

Sure.

1:01:09

Yeah, whatever Netflix wants, Netflix, yes.

1:01:11

Okay.

1:01:12

Yeah, that's how I would feel it.

1:01:13

And with my plan, you could actually do that because you're selling a night, you know,

1:01:17

okay.

1:01:18

All right.

1:01:19

Yeah.

1:01:20

So now you, for the, I don't want to have to change the, once I start, I don't want to

1:01:22

flip the channel.

1:01:23

But if I have to, if I have to go somewhere else the next day, then maybe I'm willing to

1:01:27

do that.

1:01:28

So the NFL could sell 30 to think about that.

1:01:32

32 different one hour packages in the month of April.

1:01:35

I mean, just think of how much money they could just, you know, be, I don't even know,

1:01:41

like, in the sweat off their foreheads with $100 bills, if they can't do that now.

1:01:45

So there you go.

1:01:46

All right, Billy.

1:01:47

I think I got to all my stuff.

1:01:48

Do we miss anything?

1:01:49

Anything you wanted to get off your chest here as we are 10 days before the NFL draft,

1:01:55

or are you good?

1:01:56

You're ready to go.

1:01:57

You're locked in.

1:01:58

I feel like 10 days out.

1:01:59

We're good for now.

1:02:00

We're good.

1:02:01

We're patiently waiting.

1:02:02

We're, we're not like shutting it down.

1:02:03

We're not too excited.

1:02:04

We're patiently waiting to see what news come.

1:02:07

We're not going to create the news.

1:02:08

I mean, we did go out there.

1:02:10

You were, you were, I was going to say you were bearing Fernando and Dosa earlier and

1:02:14

it's kind of a shame.

1:02:15

You seem like such a nice guy, great family and you're just out there kind of spreading

1:02:18

all of these, these things about him, which is unfortunate, but someone's got to do it,

1:02:22

I guess, and you did that earlier today.

1:02:24

But aside from that, we're kind of just kind of taking the news as it comes and figuring

1:02:28

it out as we get closer.

1:02:29

Yeah.

1:02:30

I think everybody's excited about their own teams.

1:02:32

Who's my team going to pick?

1:02:33

Like you said, but in terms of the zooming out here, I wonder what storylines will emerge

1:02:39

between now and that first pick and his first, I do like the live drafts.

1:02:43

It was a way to get, basically get owners to stop complaining because you know, they're

1:02:47

like, you're not getting a Super Bowl, but we will give you this and the cities were

1:02:50

like, all right, fine.

1:02:51

I guess we'll settle for that.

1:02:52

It looks cool on TV.

1:02:54

It's a great football city.

1:02:55

It'll, it'll look cool.

1:02:57

Good for them.

1:02:58

We'll watch it.

1:02:59

It's, it's better than having the same venue every week, I believe.

1:03:02

All right, there you go.

1:03:03

That was our episode with the great Billy Gill, who will be on seven other,

1:03:10

podcasts potentially by the time you listened to this one, but we're glad he carved out some

1:03:15

time for his old buddies here at the Ringer NFL show.

1:03:17

Thank you to Billy.

1:03:18

Thanks to Christopher Sutton for producing Stefano Sanchez on video editing and additional

1:03:22

production supervision by Connor Nevens in our Juno Ramgo Palam Shilka body.

1:03:27

We'll talk to you next time on the Ringer NFL show.

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