522. Has Hungary Shown Britain How to Beat Farage? (Question Time)

2026-04-15 23:00:00 • 51:40

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People thought that it was going to be very difficult to defeat him.

1:15

He didn't just win, he absolutely trounced him.

1:18

How do you dismantle what the other lot have done in a way that is legal, effective and quick?

1:25

On day one, he called for the country's president to resign.

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2:43

Welcome to the rest of this politics question time with me, Rory Stewart.

2:46

And with me, Anastica Amble.

2:48

Lots of questions.

2:49

We're going to do quite a lot on Hungary where there's been an incredible result.

2:53

We'll also look at the local elections coming Britain, Scottish elections and Welsh elections

2:58

and much more.

3:00

But Anastica, I wanted to start with a question from Joe.

3:03

Is it not possible that the Hungarian people have just pinched their noses to vote for Marcia

3:09

due to fatigue from 16 years of Orban's government?

3:13

Given Mayer's own politics, are they really out of the populist quagmire?

3:19

I think that is a little bit harsh on the new incoming Hungarian Prime Minister.

3:26

It is true, Joe, that a lot of people who would not normally vote for Magyar who essentially

3:33

is a centre-right politician did so because they just wanted to get rid of Orban.

3:38

No doubt about that at all.

3:40

Including people considerably well to the left of him.

3:43

Quite a few people who might have still didn't.

3:46

Some of the parties pulled their punches and essentially anybody who was not for Fidez and Orban

3:52

wanted Magyar to win.

3:55

Sorry, I'm interrupting this very naughty of me, but I've got a note from a Hungarian telling me

3:59

that the correct pronunciation is Peter Majer.

4:03

Okay. Well, Peter Majer did a pretty amazing job and yes, it's true, Joe.

4:09

The lot of people who wouldn't necessarily vote for a centre-right politician

4:13

decided to do so because the big driving goal of the election for so many people was just to get rid of Orban.

4:21

Are they out of the populist quagmire? Well, the answer today is hopefully.

4:25

I thought it was very interesting, it is press conference, because Orban is much more than

4:30

the Prime Minister of Hungary's big global figure, part of the populist, nationalist, authoritarian

4:37

politics that is spreading like a virus. It was why it's so good that Magyar has managed to

4:44

sort of put a stop to it. But I thought his press conference, he covered an awful lot of ground.

4:50

He was definitely being more reasonable towards Europe.

4:53

He was being pro-Ukrainian saying Ukraine has to be able to sort out its own future.

4:59

He said if Trump phoned him, he'd take the call, but he wasn't looking for it and he said the same

5:03

about Putin. He said he hoped that the UK rejoined the European Union, tick in my book.

5:09

Let's just not underestimate this. In any election you have to fight whilst in front of you.

5:14

And he had to fight a guy who's been in power for 16 years who has set the institutions of the state,

5:21

basically his extensions of his own political project, with a massive control of the media,

5:26

Russian money pouring in, Trump sending Vance and Rubio to back him up, Trump himself saying on

5:33

the day, you know, vote for this guy if you want to direct line to the White House. And he won.

5:38

He didn't just win. He absolutely trounced him. It's an incredible day, isn't it? It's a really

5:44

incredible day because in many ways, many people who knew Hungary well thought that Orban had stacked

5:53

the cards in a way that it was going to be very, very difficult to beat him. What Orban essentially

5:57

had done over 16 years is demonstrate, or it felt like it could demonstrate that you could create

6:04

the beginnings of a proper authoritarian non-democratic state without doing any of the formal things that

6:09

you would expect from the authoritarian government to do. So use a genuine majority

6:14

in parliament to re-rig the constitution and stack the judiciary, use state money to rewire

6:22

the media. So he didn't need to actually censor independent media, but basically use market

6:26

mechanisms and enormous subsidies to boost his own media, use government contracts and procurement

6:33

to create a new class of corrupt oligarchs to reinforce gerrymandered district boundaries.

6:40

And so with district mountaineers gerrymandered the courts captured, the media captured,

6:46

and all the stuff you're talking about, real interference, people thought that it was going to be

6:51

very difficult to defeat him. And such credit, I think, to Margea for doing this, because I mean,

6:58

the guy visited something like 95% of all the parish hits in Hungary during this campaign.

7:05

So he managed to see 327 towns, 517 times, visited 161 parishes out of 174, often managed to visit

7:16

six or even nine towns in one day. So I think it's a real inspiration that absolutely populist can

7:24

be beaten, but I think the second point is it's not inevitable. It takes real boot level, it takes

7:31

real energy. And if people are going to do this, my goodness, they got a work cut.

7:35

Because all of that has been such a dominant figure, not just in Hungary, but as part of this

7:39

broader political debate around the world, I think we underestimate as well the role of civil society

7:45

that it did keep going. There were lots of organizations who did keep trying to call this stuff out

7:51

as it was happening. But listen, the campaigning, literally as you say, went right around the country,

7:56

again and again and again, just trying to get his message through, because he couldn't get access

8:00

to the mainstream media. It's maybe a point here where we to plug the populism series. We delayed

8:04

episode two because of the Zelensky interview, but it's out for members on Friday. And this is an

8:10

extended interview, Liam Byrne. And a lot of what Magyar has done, sorry, I'm finding the

8:16

Magyar are very difficult, a lot of what the new Hungarian privateist has done relates to some of the

8:23

lessons and the messages that Liam Byrne is putting in his book, Why Populous, A Winning and How to

8:29

Beat them, which is what we talk about. So for example, I saw a lot of the kind of celebration

8:35

of people on the left was based on the assumption that this was a traditional left-right

8:41

contest and the guy in the right is lost. No, he stayed very much as a right of center politician.

8:49

He refused to get pushed into a lot of the kind of so-called woke debates. They kept trying to

8:55

lay a trap for him to come out on LGBT. They kept trying to sort of suggest that he was going to

9:00

you know be so pro-U Ukrainian that your kids would have been sent to war as soon as he became

9:05

prime minister. And he just held very, very firm in the center. And so I think that's one lesson.

9:11

The other thing is I think that and this is something that Liam Byrne said, you don't win people

9:16

over to your side by telling them that they're wrong the whole time. I think the other thing that

9:21

he did is he created a new framing for why somebody who did support a Orban could be persuaded to come

9:30

back to something more mainstream and sensible. And when we get to part two on Friday, it's very much

9:36

where we're talking about how to beat populism. And I think that you know, Magyar is going to be

9:42

part of that story going forward. There was a question from Douglas, one of our listeners, after

9:47

democratic success and Hungary, in part due to Fidesz's pro-Russian stance, what do you think UK

9:52

voters as red lines are? Do you think reform and other European right wing parties will change

9:57

their tactics now? Some of you keep pointing out, Hungary which is quite a small country. And

10:01

my goodness, you don't envy Peter Marge, because he is dealing with a country which is in demographic

10:07

decline. Women are having on average 1.3 children. The Hungarian population has been dropping since 1980,

10:12

has a serious debt problem, serious problems, productivity, and quite a small population. But

10:17

why did it matter? And you keep pointing out this tiny country matter so much? Well, Panikas

10:22

Orban became, for 16 years, increasingly the global cheerleader of the populist right. He used

10:28

Hungarian state money, for example, and Fidesz linked banks to fund marrying the pens party.

10:34

Yeah. And he put these huge global conferences together and he had, he thought this wonderful

10:40

recipe that he was sharing with Trump's team and Maga, which was this whole recipe about how

10:45

you could, while apparently still operating within a pretence of a constitutional market framework,

10:51

rig the whole system in favor of your populism. I just think though that in terms of reform,

10:58

and this is a point you've made in the past, and I'll be interested how we develop this.

11:02

One lesson from this is that Trump is increasingly becoming a liability. Second lesson from this

11:09

is that if we look at three people that we've discussed a lot recently, Majer Mamdani, the

11:16

person who's won in New York, and Zelenski, who you've just interviewed, these are people who

11:21

ran very unconventional campaigns outside the mainstream media. They challenged the sort of

11:27

Trumpian model not by doing conventional campaigns in the mainstream media. In the case of Majer,

11:34

he had to, he couldn't get to the mainstream media. In the case of Mamdani, basically the

11:38

Democratic establishment under Quema had stitched the whole thing up and had the money running behind

11:43

Quema. So what they have found is the other side of social media. On the one hand, of course,

11:49

social media has superpowered people like Trump and the new media environment, but it also gives

11:56

these chinks of light, these opportunities for insurgent and dependent candidates to come out

12:01

and know where we see this maybe with Zach Planski and the Green Party, getting a kind of name

12:06

recognition that's never been seen for anyway, over to you for the UK implications.

12:09

Yeah, look, I think it is interesting how Farage is without a doubt trying to distance himself

12:16

a little bit from Trump. He went in both feet into the start of the Iran war saying we should

12:23

be alongside him quickly realize that was a stupid mistake and he's trying to sort of wriggle his

12:27

way out of that. Vital, the leader of the AFD in Germany, she has become increasingly quite

12:33

critical of Trump. I noticed that the weekend that Maloney, right wing populist in Italy, she

12:39

was critical of Trump because of his attack on the Pope. Mark Carney, who in a sense partly became

12:45

prime minister because of the Trump attacks on Canada which so damaged Pierre Polly Ever,

12:51

the right wing populist candidate who was so far ahead, Mark Carney spoke at his party conference

12:56

of the weekend and he was not messing about in terms of hitting back at Trump. Sanchez,

13:01

you mentioned in the main podcast, he's another one. So Trump's brand is tanking and if you just

13:06

think about some of the judgments that Nigel Farage represents, propute in, terrible, pro Trump terrible.

13:14

Absolutely obsessed with money and I think that one of the really big things that damaged

13:20

all bands so much was this sense of corruption. Even though it wasn't that widely reported because

13:25

the media was controlled, people knew that he had these massive mansions, they knew that he's best

13:30

friend, the gas filter would become a billionaire and if you project yourself as the man of the people

13:36

and suddenly you become the corruptor that you're meant to be fighting against, you're going to

13:39

pay a price. I think that Farage vital, the pen, I think they also lost in this election but here's

13:46

the thing only if the progressive left learned the right lessons from what's gone on here don't assume

13:55

that this mean the sorts of culture wars that lost the Democrats support in the United States.

14:01

No culture wars and I think a second lesson is you really need very, very aggressive active

14:08

charismatic campaigning. I mean just coming back to both Mamdani's skill with social media and

14:13

Marges relentless turning up in every village hall over two years building his basement. If

14:20

Starmer wants to do one on the next election, Labor wants to do one on the next election, they need

14:24

to either find a way of Starmer communicating like this or they need to get rid of Starmer and find

14:29

someone who can do this. The only way I think of defeating the populace I'm seeing over the last

14:35

six, seven years is real communication skills, charisma, skill with social media and all those

14:41

people that you've talked about have that and I think what can't happen is kind of gray, steady as you

14:48

boring technology, safety first, tempting though that it didn't really work for Theresa May,

14:54

it's not really working for Starmer, you didn't work for Biden, you need a very different type

14:58

for approach. Final one for me and you've made this point but the reason of course we're talking

15:03

about the Hunger and Election is the really big change is in terms of what it means for Europe.

15:08

Orban was the big disruptor, the big veto holder, the big guy who could really disrupt

15:14

Europe coming together and on Ukraine Peter Majors first statement which I just want to read out

15:19

because I just think it's so startling for the difference. Everyone in Hungary he said in this

15:24

speech knows that Ukraine is a victim of this war and no one should tell them under what conditions

15:30

they should enter a peace or sign a peace treaty, we cannot tell any country to give up their

15:35

territory and this is what the Fidesz politician said then I'd like to ask them what would you do if

15:42

Russia attacked Hungary which Hungarian counties would you be willing to give up. Ukraine should

15:48

receive security guarantees and territorial guarantees that can be observed and kept. Ukraine

15:55

under the Budapest memorandum something you discussed was Zelensky gave up its nuclear arsenal

16:00

for guarantees but those guarantees were violated repeatedly by Russia.

16:05

Very good very strong he's still pretty young he's mid-40s

16:08

he's got something of a checkered past and all these accusations related to how he treated his wife

16:15

he was also minister and he says it's all smears and all that but I just felt he thought an amazing

16:20

campaign that met the moment and I'm sure he came on the lots of pressure to be maybe a little

16:28

bit less centered in the strategy that he pursued just on this corruption thing because I mean

16:35

I'm staggered that the issue of corruption in the United States is not far far far bigger than it is

16:41

but I think there's always something Gary Kasperov makes this point there's always something about

16:46

the far right that they really like Putin and they really like money. We've done a lot on Hungary

16:52

I think there's a lot more that we could do because I think it's probably one of the most exciting

16:57

moments and we've been leading up to this for four years where we actually at the beginning of this

17:02

show covered Orban's first re-election so 16 years of Hungarian populist rule finished

17:09

but something that we maybe need to get into a little bit more is the challenges that Marshall

17:15

will now face in not just kind of demographic economic but as with Poland one of the challenges

17:22

is the way in which the whole thing is stacked and we had a question from Henry who asked

17:29

are there lessons from Donald Tusk and Poland for what Marsha would have to do in Hungary to turn

17:34

the situation around and to remind people the problem there that Donald Tusk defeated the

17:38

law and justice party which had been in power in Poland since 2015 but he found that the whole

17:44

institution structure of the potter state had been rigged in favor of the populists. Marsha's now

17:50

taking over a situation where the judges have been appointed with a central bank governor where most

17:55

the leading business people are all stacked on Orban side or Bern will be gambling he can just

17:59

wait this out have another go in a couple years time and try to make sure that Marshall can make

18:04

no progress because he can basically paralyze him and that the challenge to polls have faced is

18:10

how do you dismantle what the other lot have done in a way that is legal, effective and quick

18:17

because often what you find is that in Poland you have these very strange situations where Tusk has

18:22

been criticized for firing judges that the last government the populist government was criticized

18:29

for appointing in the first place so yeah well I think that this is why the the two thirds super

18:34

majority was so important because it means he does have a greater power to make constitutional change

18:40

but so for example on day one he called for the country's president to resign why because the

18:46

country's president is there basically as a sort of tool of of Orban so he knows he's going to be

18:51

oppositional there are all sorts of new bodies institutions that Orban set up that

18:58

Maggiar will want to get rid of we've talked a lot about the media he essentially what you have is

19:03

a sort of Russian style propaganda outfit running as the state broadcaster he'll need to change that

19:10

and of course as you say now that he stops being the challenge and he becomes the incumbent

19:15

it then becomes a little bit harder that's why I think he should really go for this the old

19:19

cliche hit the ground running he should really make some big moves very very quickly and Orban

19:24

interestingly yesterday two interesting things about Orban first is he threw the towel in very very

19:29

quickly I hope that wasn't to do some deal about you know not being gone after himself because

19:37

or Major has been very clear through the campaign people who have looted the country you know like

19:43

the best friends who've become billionaires and all the rest of it he feels that they have to be

19:47

some sort of accountability but Orban did a very short piece to camera which said to me he's

19:52

not going away quietly he kept talking about the patriots in the country I've got to stick together

19:58

I suspect we'll see a lot of him on the list trust CPAC circuit he's not going to go away as a

20:05

voice and he's not going to go away as a thorn in in the new government side so well the other

20:09

thing that won't go away is that he still has a lot of supporters I mean this was a huge

20:15

victory for Marcia but we mustn't forget that there is still a very very big group and this

20:22

is something you've been discussing in your pop it doesn't many series who genuinely remain

20:29

very polarized very divided and will be very angry about Marcia's victory so there are a lot of

20:34

Orban supporters out there who buy into the narrative that Europe is rigging things against Orban

20:42

that they're facing cultural decline that they're fighting for the survival of the hungarian

20:47

nation against immigration that they're being dragged into a war in Ukraine by Zelensky and a

20:54

global elite and so we're not in a world in which it's easy to sort of do round tables and

20:59

compromise and bring people together he's got to find some way of re-engaging that group with

21:06

the body polity he won't get them all on board but but just quickly because this was a theme of

21:10

your miniseries and populism what is the lesson about how one would re-engage what I suppose

21:17

of the hungarian equivalents to the reform voters well this is where I found Liam Burns analysis

21:21

so interesting because essentially he's he's done a lot of research a lot of polling a lot of

21:25

survey work breaking them down into different groups and essentially he's saying there are a

21:32

fairly sizable group of people who are reform minded or reformed curious who are just not going

21:38

to vote anything but reform a lot of them may not vote but they're not going to vote labor they're

21:42

not going to vote Tory they're not going to vote Lib Dem you reckon it's about 40% that labor

21:47

could get back and partly it's this thing about respect it's this thing about understanding why

21:53

they're so pissed off with the main parties why they fit their lives have not got better but you

22:00

have to give them the arguments of that and the policies for that and you have to back to your

22:05

point about communication of being out there the whole time you have to make them feel that you

22:08

get their lives and you want to be part of making their lives better and then I think the other

22:14

thing that that he was really strong on is that you know we've got our three peas populism

22:19

polarisation post-truths and he's got his three A's that he says are absolutely fundamental to

22:24

the way that populists operate appeasement autocracy and avarice now appeasement basically means

22:32

and this is what all banded brilliantly for four terms even the opposition felt we're never

22:37

going to beat this guy he's got too much control so you give in or you give up and that's what trump's

22:42

gambling on in the global system isn't it the end everybody will appease trump and we'll just

22:46

suck up whatever America does and then autocracy is the system that you build around yourself

22:52

but he says that the third one which is so important I'm really glad that the Philip Reichoff

22:56

review is underway I think the government needs to go even further and cleaning up the financing

23:01

of our politics because the third A is avarice and there is something very very strange I mean

23:08

why aren't people appalled at the money that trump and his family are making being in power

23:14

why has it taken the Hungarians 16 years to realise that this is just utterly seconding and yet when

23:20

you see Nigel Farage and some of his money making schemes the one that I nearly fooled you on April

23:27

is bitcoin thing with with choisequartang all the money that they make from GB news and the

23:32

one of the other interesting things that Liam Bern as analysed is that there's this huge over 150

23:40

million pounds worth of media infrastructure that is essentially built there to help the populist far

23:47

right we've just got to be far better the progressive left in particular but centrist politics and I

23:53

would argue the the Tories who were sent to write as well far better at exposing this so listen I

24:00

think there's a lot in Liam's book but there's also and the series but there's also a lot in what

24:04

Magyar's done that I think parties are the left can learn from not just parties of the right we had

24:10

a question from Robert from York what did you make of British crypto billionaire Bendello's recent

24:16

4 million pound donations reform it's apparently made before the government's cap on donations

24:20

to political parties by bridge citizens living abroad and was brought in but he's actually

24:24

moving back to the UK so he'd be able to donate more in the future I mean just before you get on to

24:28

that it is interesting why on earth are all these rich people giving so much reform and given that

24:36

there will be a lot of business people who won't believe that reform will be good for the British

24:42

economy a lot of more conventional British people who traditionally would have given money to

24:46

labor or the conservatives believing that a little bit more predictability a little bit more

24:51

reasoner maybe even a little bit more of getting close to the European Union will be good for their

24:55

businesses why are they staying away and why are all these other guys coming in is it that a lot

25:02

of them made their money in crypto and that makes them in a sense naturally quite anarchistic

25:09

anti status quo anti elite and of course crypto money is made so quickly and has so little to do

25:14

with normal predictable functioning economies that maybe that is the sweet spot for a lot of these

25:20

people on the pop it is far right. Totally I think you've answered your own question

25:24

they don't want any sort of government oversight not just of crypto but of anything that they do

25:30

to make money you know we're back to my argument about the sovereign individual we're back to why

25:34

Musk projects himself as a believer of free speech what he means is that he should be free to do

25:40

whatever he wants to make more and more money and assimilate more and more power. I just think we've

25:45

got to wake up to this that the the sorts of you know I don't know these people individually they

25:50

may be very very nice they may be very nice to their mums and very nice to their dogs and cats but

25:55

you know I'm instinctively very suspicious of somebody who lives in Thailand and and makes his

26:00

money in crypto and gives loads of money to Nigel Farage I'm very suspicious of this guy who comes

26:07

being portrayed by Richard Tyson Nigel Farage in the Daily Telegraph as a great patriot because he's

26:13

coming back to put his money into reform I'm sorry I do not see this as patriotism I see this as

26:20

people who have clocked that if they can get Nigel Farage into power people like them are going to

26:26

be able to make more money with less oversight and the public will not have a bloody clue what's going

26:33

on and inequality will widen rather than narrow and just before we go to the break rory to listen

26:38

and view as our not yet members of trip plus who want to hear our fantastic series on populism and

26:45

all the other bonus content that we put out there just remind people we've got AI series out there

26:50

we've got your series with Michael Wolff on Murdoch we've got our series on JD Vance a lot of

26:55

stuff to get into and much more coming because it's where Alice and I pursue our specialist

27:01

enthusiastic projects anyway episode one and two of the rest is politics mini series on populism

27:08

get them by joining trip plus by going to the rest is politics dot com now take a break

27:18

welcome back to the rest is politics question time with me Alistair Campbell and with me

27:23

Rory Stewart now we've done a lot of international stuff recently we have but there's some very

27:28

interesting things happening in the UK so tihan who's a trip plus member from Bristol

27:34

what role will binary divisive populism play in these upcoming local elections I noticed both the

27:40

SMP and reform are reframing these elections in referendum terms SMP leader john swine is pitching

27:48

another Scottish independence referendum for 2028 while for arches pitching these local elections

27:54

as a referendum on stomach just on that issue that's quite interesting um what tihan's picked up

27:58

there what's happening in campaigns were essentially you say in a local election and in for

28:03

our case you know you talk about local council elections this is a referendum a binary choice on

28:10

a biggest who should be prime minister or whether Scott should be independent every well it plays

28:15

into something that I've always felt is really really terrible about the way that we talk about

28:19

cover and campaign in local government I mean local councils are so important of so many of the

28:27

things that people really care about when their bins get collated how clean their streets are

28:32

whether there's actually a local youth club to go to and what have you and the media has always

28:36

done this game and they're doing it in this one as well is essentially they play into the idea that

28:42

actually what you do at the end of the local elections you add all the votes together and it's

28:45

like a gigantic opinion poll and you say whether the party of government is in trouble or not

28:50

and it's really really really tedious but of course for ours you understand the media frankly

28:55

better than most of the media do that's the game that he's playing with this Fiona and I were on

29:00

our way to the Heath the other day and the reformer handing out leaflets outside our local railway

29:06

station and they actually look like labor party leaflets because they're red and there's a picture

29:12

of Kierstamer and Tulip Sadiq local MP on there and you think it's nice interesting it turns out

29:18

it's highly attacking Kierstamer Tulip Sadiq and say if you want to get rid of them vote reform

29:23

well if you want to get rid of them you have to vote for them in a parliamentary election

29:27

so this is election about Camden council so I can see the politics of it but I just think it's

29:33

really sort of pathetic and pure oil if you go to the Scottish question in Cheyenne's point

29:40

then it's true we've interviewed Anna Sawa and it's on leading on Monday we interviewed John

29:45

Swini a few weeks ago the Scottish First Minister and when they did they did the first of the big

29:51

TV debates the other day the news that came out of it the news as decided by Amages BBC

29:58

was that John Swini has indicated that if they win the election it's the Green Life of a referendum

30:03

it's not really what this election is about and I get why he's doing it because

30:09

Labour is trying to make it a referendum on 20 years of SMP government he's trying to make it

30:15

an opinion poll about whether Scotland wants another independence referendum and meanwhile all the

30:21

issues that the Scottish Parliament is responsible for and that people in Scotland fought to get health

30:27

education transport, grime and all the rest of it they barely get a look in it's very frustrating

30:33

just on the UGov polls and you know we've had a lot of painful experience on this podcast of how

30:39

wrong polls can go but just to want to sound why people see this as so seismic I came into parliament

30:45

2010 and if we look at the elections since 2011 it looks as though in this election you know after

30:55

15 years we're going to end up in a position where the SMP are basically in one of their strongest

31:02

positions ever and where reform which didn't manage to elect any MSPs into Holyrood it's only MSP

31:11

and Holyro is actually a Tory who's defected across is going to go from zero in the 2021 election

31:19

to 14 15 even 20 MSPs meanwhile conservatives and labour literally will fall off a cliff I mean

31:29

conservatives might go down from 31 MSPs to seven labour might go down from 22 down to about 15 so

31:37

we're really moving into a world in which instead of where we were in 99 when you were you know

31:44

first set up Holyrood which was 56 labour 35 SMP and for a long time basically a

31:55

two-party system in Scotland labour SMP I mean 2007 47 SMP 46 labour into a world which is

32:03

dominated in seat terms with the SMP potentially with reform which was nowhere emerging as the

32:09

second party and labour and conservatives almost vanishing because I think Anna Sawa is a genuinely

32:14

good campaigner and good candidate and when the interview comes out Monday I challenged him

32:19

you know big because I wasn't that happy when he sort of came out at the time that he did send

32:23

here as thumb as to go but when he explained the strategy and the reason why they are polling so

32:28

badly you kind of get a sense of why he felt he had to do it and it's true this goes back to the

32:33

conversation about populism I think we've always felt or too many people have felt that reform was

32:39

always going to really really struggle to get any sort of foothold in Scotland you know if you remember

32:44

previous visits when Nigel Farage went there and you get hounded out and and what have you so

32:48

there's always been a kind of right-wing populist streak in Scottish public opinion but as you say it's

32:55

why where it's going to reform is because of the collapse of the conservative party.

33:00

Can I just challenge challenge that because presumably what you've done on your miniseries also

33:04

suggests that quite a lot of those reform voters will also be coming from labour that's certainly

33:09

true across the United Kingdom as a whole yes a lot of them come from Tories but a lot of them come

33:12

from labour too I mean it's basically the implosion of the two main parties with their traditional

33:17

voters going to either SMP or reform. Yeah or in where there isn't the SMP what's happened in

33:23

parts of England is they go those on the left go to green and those on the right maybe more

33:28

curious about reform but I think that what what will happen if you know it does seem to me

33:35

extraordinary going about you know power corrupts absolutely if you actually look at the SMP record I

33:41

think this is something you feel even stronger than I do you've had these you know gigantic

33:46

figures in Scottish politics Alex Salman who's let's be frank whose career ended in ignominy you've

33:52

had then Nicholas Durgeon whose husband's career is you know not ending exactly where either of them

33:58

would have wanted it to do which is a polite way of saying about your friend that the guy's under

34:03

massive police investigation I was I was conscious of the of the legal revivocations as I was

34:08

speaking my journalistic training of essential law for journalists many many many years ago and

34:15

then you've got John Swinney who literally has been a big figure in the SMP for 20 years and he's

34:23

essentially he's the change and it so it just feels a bit weird and because what Scottish

34:29

Labour people I taught you say say they're being dragged down by the sense of the Labour government

34:34

of Westminster not being what people thought that they that they voted for because Scotland did

34:40

go very much to Labour at the last election with at the last general election I don't know what

34:45

the odds would have been but you'd have been pretty nailed on if you'd have put a bet on and you know

34:49

people thought that Anna Sauer is going to be coasting to First Minister doesn't look like that

34:53

is happening and then Wales is you know Wales which has always been Labour and there it's not impossible

35:00

that well that Labour comes there there with plied and and the and reform so we do we now have

35:07

these systems that were devised in a very different era for what we now appear to be the development

35:14

of this very very multi party politics I've got to say by the way you often say I don't criticise

35:20

as you call it my friend the carestama for that I didn't much see the point of the party election

35:27

broadcast that Labour put out because it was essentially it was carestama at a lectern with two union

35:32

flags behind him talking mainly about Iran and the war now it's incredibly important but he does

35:39

press conferences he does parliament for that I you know I think there should have been a really

35:43

strong local government message why your local council matters why these choices matter that's

35:51

where I thought Anna Sauer's interview was interesting the strongest bit the message that would

35:55

appeal to me and that I hope is going to get him to win over some centrist voters the kind of I

36:02

suppose the centrist Tory voter or the centrist Labour voter is that he was basically saying it's

36:07

about performance it's about sorting out Scottish economy he'd like to see taxes come down he'd

36:12

like regulation to go he'd like to grow businesses he talks very openly about the fact his father

36:17

was a very successful businessman entrepreneur it's a kind of pro business let's sort out the

36:22

education system set up standards quite an optimistic local vision for a more vibrant Scottish

36:30

economy and public services I felt and I have interesting some feedback that he could have actually

36:35

been a little bit more colourful and developed a few more more striking phrase about the moral

36:41

corruption of the S&P I would have gone with that and let me you know let me reinforce this I know

36:45

you disagree with me but listen we've just seen Peter Mario win a whole election by going against

36:52

the corruption of another party it's a massive valence salience is you and so I would be tempted to say

36:58

that in modern politics if you want to campaign against and I see the S&P is actually being

37:03

equivalent of popular nationalists you want to run against them you've got to have striking

37:08

impressive things and it can't just and the problem with Anna says I love the underlying message

37:15

which is solid good competent pro business policies fine but it's got to excite people and

37:21

you've been given a gift I'm afraid by the incredible moral conundrums that the S&P found

37:28

themselves and if you can't land something on a party that managed to produce Alex Salmon

37:34

and Nicholas Sturtian's husband you're really struggling well I hope this has made people want

37:40

to listen to the interview when it comes out of leading but the reason I was laughing Roy is because

37:44

when I got home and I said to Fiona this is what Anna said and what did she said what did Roy

37:49

think about him and I said he sees he's better adjectives and so it is true you just say so I

37:59

was walking by the kitchen going what do we want better adjectives what do we what do you want

38:04

them now so anyway I think he's an interesting character and I hope people listen to and enjoy

38:12

our interview with him on on Monday now here's one Rory I know how much you like my form of

38:17

I nearly said form a friend my friend and former colleague Peter Hyman this is from Emma

38:22

Emma in Glasgow should we ban the social media for kids tick tick and instead be teaching what

38:29

Peter Hyman recently described as the lost art of discernment in schools did you have time to

38:35

read it I sent it to you it was this substaki wrote about a teacher that he'd hide when Peter

38:40

was a head teacher who he said was a brilliant a teaching and getting kids interested in writing

38:46

and reading and language but actually this point about discernment and kind of I guess separating

38:54

week from chaff and have understanding motivation understanding that is you scroll endlessly through

38:59

Instagram somebody's making money out of you and starting to think of those things and it was sort of

39:05

a kind of deeper form of critical thinking mother was a lovely old fashioned word discernment

39:10

I mean I think one of the challenges in a way is not that young people are gullible it's that

39:16

they're unbelievably cynical I mean I noticed with my now nine-year-old and eleven-year-old that if

39:23

you watch advertisements with them or you watch Trump give us speech they are incredibly quick to say

39:31

this is a scam who's making money out of this they're very very alert because they're being

39:38

scammed all the time I mean there were on social media that you know they're trying to buy some

39:43

five-pound thing for their video game add-on and it turns out to be a brilliant video that ends up

39:49

in a rubbish product they're very very conscious when they're watching Trump speak that it's all

39:56

nonsense they'll be very aware of his kind of image of himself as Jesus etc so one of the

40:01

challenges I guess if you're teaching in schools is not how do you develop cynicism I think basically

40:12

the world is making young people very cynical and you know they're also taught critical thinking

40:17

in school which involves questioning politicians questioning historical text they're very good at

40:23

part of the problem is how do you encourage them to actually believe anything how do you encourage

40:29

them to work out where the skepticism and the questioning ceases and where you're actually prepared to

40:35

say in the end this person though flawed is the less evil this person may not be perfect but actually

40:44

it's the kind of politician I want to support and I want to support passionately here's the

40:48

compromise I'm prepared to make because the real challenge I think is that we create and this

40:54

I'm worried about sometimes my Yale students which is a hyper intelligent hyper critical but

41:01

ultimately quite cynical and nihilistic culture Peter ends his piece by he goes through all these

41:05

things that you think you have to that are part of this discernment establishing whether something

41:10

is true understanding the context working out whether it's actually worth your time thinking

41:15

and caring about it is there a value attached to it moral purpose self-knowledge what triggers me

41:21

what flatters me what confirms my biases what kinds of narratives my to read to believe on it goes

41:26

and then he says this is the hardest thing of all to choose to live life with a greater repertoire

41:30

of experience to be discerning about what we watch read consumer do and without teaching the next

41:35

generation discernment without all of us asking these questions we're likely to drown under the

41:41

vast never-ending weight of content or be momedown by the AI juggernaut heading towards us

41:48

you know it's an interesting piece we'll put it in the newsletter and also Roy just those

41:52

that are listeners and youngers of all ages but particularly the young I hope we'll be

41:57

interested in this we're planning a mini series on Gen Z which is going to be presented by somebody

42:02

else not us because we're very very not Gen Z you and I Roy but we are we are going to try and find

42:09

out how Gen Z are perceived how they perceive themselves and what they think about their prospects

42:16

in life can you remind us I'm so non-GENZI I don't even know what Gen Z is what is Gen Z if you're

42:21

aged 14 to 29 you are Gen Z and we've put together two surveys we're already getting a fantastic

42:29

response to them one is for members of Gen Z i.e. 14 to 29 and the other is for the rest of us

42:38

above the age of 29 so Gen Z means anyone who was born after Tony Blair's first election victory

42:45

well no but then it stops stops stops basically I don't know sometimes two years into David Cameron

42:52

correct we've asked all sorts of questions would you ever consider going to politics we'd

42:56

ever consider joining a political party how do you see your own future how are you how worried

43:04

are you about AI so anyway please take part especially Gen Z people take part but also getting

43:10

some very interesting insights into what older people think of Gen Z which I think is a lot of it

43:17

misaligned with reality but there we are so the forms to fill in whether you're Gen Z or not are

43:23

in our free newsletter and they're in the episode description below so either just go follow the

43:28

link in the episode description or just go to the rest of politics.com final question Rory

43:33

is he wants to know well first of all she says welcome back how was your week off did you do

43:39

anything exciting well so I was in the Galapagos and the Galapagos people who don't know is a set of

43:48

volcanic islands about a thousand kilometers off the coast of Ecuador so I was in Keto and then I

43:54

went across the family very very lucky I was on a national geographic boat and for people who

44:01

haven't visited I mean it's tough getting there it's expensive getting there but it is a life-changing

44:07

experience because the animals are quite unlike any animals that you'll see anywhere else on earth

44:14

the the particular group of animals is a very unusual one it's giant tortoises I think people

44:20

have heard of iguanas blue-footed boobies but the main thing about them is that they grew up

44:27

effectively without any predators and because it's so inhospitable very little freshwater no humans

44:34

until very recently in geological time Darwin visited and became very interested because it's a

44:40

real sort of way of telling the story of evolution it's isolated enough from the continent to have

44:46

developed these very independent species but the little island chains produce tiny micro variations

44:51

species to species but this means that you can sit as I did on a beach and a sea lion will come

44:58

straight up to you or it will play with you in the water giant tortoises will walk straight past you

45:03

as though you're not there iguanas will sit on your foot birds will almost land on your head you

45:09

can see albatrosses I mean and it's it's some it's like a sort of picture of the garden of Eden

45:15

it's very very strange and something and of course the one thing they're not worrying about is

45:19

Donald Trump so I had a very very happy hour lying on a beach with a sea lion being and essentially

45:27

the sea lion was teaching me do you just lie on the beach just that water wash you up and down

45:30

again you get very sandy but you don't think about Donald Trump but you know I'm just looking at

45:34

some pictures now and I mean the beach is incredible they're like they're kind of they're

45:40

might be the hebrides there's sort of goldy light gold is how I describe them well it does

45:46

that but it's also that these are very recent islands and geological terms in Scotland you know

45:51

bits that are 450 500 million years old you know my bit of perthishers like that these are islands

45:58

that came out of the sea between 500 thousand and five million years ago and therefore some of the

46:04

islands you go to are basically just black volcanic lava with one or two tiny sprigs of grass

46:12

that's the sort of newest ones and there are active volcanoes even the oldest and inverted

46:17

commerce islands and are still just establishing themselves and and it is that sense of being almost

46:24

at the beginning of creation yeah where did you stay say it on the boat say it on the boat because

46:28

the whole thing Ecuador has turned the whole thing into an enormous national park and it it

46:33

regulates very very carefully where you can go where you can snorkel how many people can go

46:39

on each place they actually tell you which bits the islands you can go to at any one time it's

46:43

very very well organized and lots of restless politics listeners so when I was lying embarrassing

46:48

myself looking pretty unattractive and my swimming trunks playing with a sea lion people would walk

46:53

up to me and say you know well done on the restless politics they didn't say why weren't you with

46:58

the Alistair interviews Alinsky no didn't didn't ask that but but a very particular demographic I

47:03

mean our little boat was basically a doctors university professors that seemed to be the the

47:11

demographic being picked up people like your dad are they trying to develop a tourist infrastructure

47:16

or not no they're trying to keep most of it offshore on these boats so they take you in on on these

47:23

on these zodiac these rigid inflatable crafts that take you into the shoreline and they're very

47:28

limited on where they allow you to walk unless you're actually you know like my great friend Robert

47:32

Sapolsky a genuine naturalist who could sit under a tree and stare at the sea lions for 20 years

47:37

no I'd really recommend it it's unbelievable and it made me so moved by nature and so moved by

47:43

the sense when you're underwater snorkeling and I'm sure many people love snorkeling as much

47:48

I do that you're looking at such an ancient world that you know horseshoe crabs that have been

47:54

there 400 million years sharks that have been there hundreds of millions of years turtles that have

47:59

been there hundreds of million years there before the dinosaurs moving around in these strange dark

48:05

submarine environments you said that Charles Darwin went there and I know if you read about Darwin

48:13

his visit to the Galapagos was that not did not all play quite a role in his developing theories

48:20

of evolution what happened to him that when he went there well he he arrives on the beagle this

48:25

amazing five-year journey that he takes as a young man and he collects all these specimens and he

48:33

notes in it that a man says to him that you can tell just by looking at it which island and a

48:40

tortoise comes from so the islands where the tortoises have to stretch their heads up higher to get

48:46

to the prickly pared trees their shells have a different shape they have a sort of saddle shape so

48:50

their heads can go up and they have a more dome shape in the place where the vegetation's near the

48:55

ground there are these finches which have totally different beaks depending what type of fruit they're

49:01

going after nuts they're going after now Darwin didn't catalog this very well at the time in fact

49:06

captain Fitzroy he's traveling with does a much better job but cataloging properly which I

49:11

but later when he writes the origins of species he gives a lot of credit to his voyage to the beagle

49:16

a beginning to get him thinking about natural selection and the species they're beautifully written

49:22

books there's a wonderful audio recording at your origin species read by Richard Dawkins if people

49:26

want to to listen and essentially what the Galapagos Islands tells us even if he wasn't fully aware

49:33

when he was there at the time is through these island environments you can see most clearly of

49:40

all the way that evolution works the way that very specific micro environments can generate entirely

49:46

new species fantastic fantastic well it sounds amazing and the kids at no point said can't we go to

49:52

Euro Disney because it's wonderful for kids too because because they get to literally walk and look at

49:59

they I mean they've got I really got penguins and flamingos very oddly these very cold water

50:04

meets very warm water so you have animals together that you'd never expect to see together and

50:09

they're so tame so you don't need binoculars I mean you're literally right next to an arbitrator or

50:13

right next to a flamingo or a penguin those are great well done well thank you for letting me off

50:19

and I hope that's going to encourage Alice to take a holiday sometime yeah yeah whatever whatever

50:24

all right see you soon see you soon bye bye take care bye bye