How Lane Johnson’s Retirement Will Affect the Eagles and More Questions for Week 5

2026-10-07 23:07:00 • 1:16:40

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What's up everybody? It is the Ringer NFL show Wednesday, October 7th. Tom

0:43

Pelicero here. Shio Kapadia will be joining us as always. Wild 24 hours or so in Philadelphia.

0:52

Lane Johnson retired. Cam Durgan's traded to the Ravens. The Eagles loading up on picks in 2028.

1:00

What does it all mean both for this Eagles team now and in the future we'll get into that ahead

1:05

of a big game for them on Sunday against the Jaguars. A slew of really intriguing matchup.

1:11

Seahawks 49ers is on the dock at this weekend as well. Bears, Packers and all that brings with it.

1:18

We'll get into those games. Shio's also got some questions about how seriously we should take

1:24

some of the surprises early in the season. Are we, are we think of the Raiders as a potential

1:30

playoff team? Are we buying the Giants as the favorites in the NFC East at 3 and 1 all that and

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lots more right after this? This is the Ringer NFL show presented by Fandall. Make every NFL week

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Tom Pillissaro here with Shio Kapadia and Iberz mentioning Shio,

2:35

no Billy Gill on a Guillermo Miracles. He is absent for very, very important reasons.

2:43

He said, you know, he got called in for jury duty. Do we believe that Tom? That's the first question

2:48

we have to answer here. Is it possible? Maybe he's annoyed at us. He's mad at us. Did we say

2:53

something during the last episode that offended him or do we believe that he's actually in there

2:57

for jury duty today? I think he's there. I don't believe that he would intentionally miss this,

3:03

but my main question is, if you're trying to, let's say, whichever side you're on in whatever

3:08

case he's on, if you're trying to disqualify him, do you just put up his quarterback rankings with

3:14

Brock Curry outside of the top 12? Do you just start there and work backwards? Do you look at the

3:20

comments on Instagram? On virtually every opinion he has? Like, where would you begin? Yeah, there

3:25

was the Caleb Williams thing. Also, that got people quite upset. You know, my wife had to take. I

3:30

don't know that this was on the record, but she said, you know, I don't know that he's going to

3:33

have a hard time if he wanted to get out of it. No, he might want to just perform his civic duty and

3:38

get selected. That's entirely possible. But if he wanted to get out of it, she felt like maybe some

3:43

of his answers to some of the questions, you know, might be a little out there that he wouldn't

3:48

have a hard time basically getting out of it if he wanted to get out of it. So I guess we'll see

3:52

if he gets selected and we're not sure when he'll be back. It's kind of like Lamar Jackson, I guess

3:57

we could say. So Billy, we hope to be back Friday. This could also be like a murder trial or

4:02

something like he's just gone for the rest of the season. We truly don't know when Billy will return.

4:09

But we wish him the best of luck and I have a feeling well of a text before we finish recording

4:13

the show saying, hey, I'm out. I got out of this thing. The Eagles are probably going to lead this

4:18

show regardless with the Lane Johnson retirement, which is, you know, these things happen occasionally,

4:25

but not a multi-time all pro stoward of the franchise retiring essentially right before the game

4:33

on Sunday in week four of the season. But then today on top of it, you get another really interesting

4:42

move here, Shield. The Eagles agreeing to trade Cam Jurgens, who was a pro bowl guard,

4:48

who had grown, was recently been playing center. He goes to the Ravens, one of the seventh round

4:54

for a fifth round pick in 2027 and a second round pick in 2028 to go with the Patriots first

5:01

from pick. They already got out of the AJ Brown trade. Shield, you know that team as well as

5:07

anyone. I will never buy that this is how he tanking the season. He's just thinking about two

5:12

years down the road. There's always, there's always counter moves when it comes to how he builds that

5:18

team. But the totality of this, not just for the offensive line, but for the franchise, what to

5:22

expect the rest of this season? What do you make of it all? Yeah, I'm with you. I think there was a

5:26

lot of immediate reaction that they're punting on the season. They've got all these injuries. They

5:31

lost last week to the Rams. I just don't think that that's how they operate. And I don't think

5:36

teams punt on the season when they're two and two. You barely know what your team's going to be

5:41

at that point. And I also think if you believe that's the case, that means you think Jurgens was

5:45

playing like at a high level. And now they're going to lose a lot of games because they don't have

5:49

cam Jurgens. And the fact of the matter, I'm not trying to be harsh. It's just that he struggled

5:53

this season and they moved him over to left guard. And that was a tough spot to put him in. And he

5:58

struggled over there at left guard. He's battled through a bunch of injuries. So I think they probably

6:03

look at it and say we're getting Landon Dickerson back at some point here off of IR. We've got a young

6:08

offensive lineman and Willie Lampkin who we could throw in there. It doesn't mean they're definitely

6:12

going to be as good as cam Jurgens. But it's not the highest bar to clear. It's a cam Jurgens earlier

6:17

in his career. You wouldn't be able to clear that part was a phenomenal player. He's unfortunately

6:21

battled through a bunch of injuries. So I think the Eagles looked at this and said, hey, we can get a

6:26

second round pick for him. We've got other options here. And really Tom, I think what this trade comes

6:31

down to for both sides. Eagles are making the bet that Jurgens is not going to get back to being the

6:35

player. He was earlier in his career because of those injuries. The Ravens are looking at it saying

6:40

he's still in his 20s. He's been a good player before. We've had all kinds of injuries at center.

6:45

We believe he can be that kind of player. So we'll give up draft capital. So whoever's right

6:50

with that evaluation NFL teams disagree all the time. Whoever's right with their evaluation

6:54

the player will win the trade. I think I garbled that off the top. Yes. He's a center who has moved

6:58

to guard not vice versa. If I did, in fact, get that backwards. And that's the spot they needed.

7:03

I mean, I was at the joint practice in Minnesota when Danny Pinter went down with his injury back

7:09

in training camp. And then they lose two of their other centers in the same game. You know,

7:14

they're now they've been playing somebody out of position. There's a lot of moving parts. This is

7:17

still though, shield for a center. You don't normally see second round picks involved in these types

7:25

of trades. In part because a lot of times when you're drafting interior offensive lineman,

7:30

like you're finding him in the fourth, fifth, sixth round. So clearly there's vision here with

7:34

Baltimore. And also, you know, there's not a lot of guys on the street who could solidify that

7:39

position. So I certainly appreciate the aggressiveness by Eric DeCosta, not somebody who normally

7:46

trades really high picks for anything. I also noticed too that this has become a little bit more

7:52

of a trend. I don't recall a volume of trades recently, until recently, that had the higher of the

8:00

picks in the following year. This goes all the way back to when the jets did the Quinnon Williams

8:06

trade. And they were initially looking for the Cowboys were offering a first round pick in this

8:13

past year's draft. And they said, no, we want the first in 2027. We'll take the lower pick in 2026.

8:19

And also, I put Joey Porter Jr. Recently, now it happens with Cam Jerkins. It's just it's a really

8:25

interesting way of doing business. We all know the 2027 draft is supposed to be really good. But

8:30

there's more teams that seem like they're willing to mortgage a little bit more in terms of assets

8:34

a year out. The AJ Brown trade being another one as opposed to giving up the assets right now,

8:40

even though you're getting a player who knows what role, if any, they have in your team in a

8:44

couple of years. Yeah, it feels like it's those two factors that play. One is that anyone in the NFL

8:50

who you'll listen to knows the draft is like the 2027 draft. They just want this season to be over

8:54

so that they can get to the 2027 draft because they're so excited about the talent pool in 2027.

9:00

So I think teams are reluctant to give up those 2027 picks. But then I think it comes down

9:05

to franchise stability. How he roseman knows he is going to be running the Eagles in 2028.

9:11

You want to trade me a 2028 first rounder, second rounder over a 2027 third rounder. Yeah,

9:17

that sounds better to me because I'm going to be here. I'm going to be making those picks. I think

9:21

sometimes they have other GMs who they're like, I'm kind of coach for my job here. I need the pick

9:26

right away so that I can make the pick and show the owner that I'm upgrading the roster and so

9:31

that we can win games so that I still have this job. So I actually think it's an edge that the team

9:36

with more stability with their decision makers have had for a long time. And maybe they're just

9:41

leaning into it a little bit more now. How are you roseman talking with I think to be reporters

9:46

right now in Philadelphia setting quote, according to Zach Burman, we weren't looking to move Cam.

9:51

Obviously the Ravens have been looking for a center kind of told them wasn't anything we were

9:54

looking to do over the last 24 hours. He got to the point where we felt like it could be a win-win

9:59

for them. Obviously getting the players been a two time pro ball center. And obviously for us being

10:03

able to get the picks we're able to get and use that money also sign players had a chance to watch

10:08

Drew Kendall here play center doing a nice job. I think for us when you talk about the two in the

10:12

five moving from the seventh to the fifth event success in the fifth round plus the money plus

10:17

Drew playing. We felt like we were getting four players for one and felt like us for us, you know,

10:23

with all these guys that we are coming up a lot of the defense side of the ball that we want to

10:26

resign and want to extend felt like that was a good situation. Like this is this is part of the

10:31

broader calculus that GMs are making. And again, we're seeing this increasingly where it's not just

10:37

the pick you're getting. It's the financial flexibility. Go back to the J.J. McCarthy trade

10:42

that we had that was just last week. It feels like it was a month ago. It was a believe last

10:46

Monday. And okay, it's a fifth round pick, but also you're offloading that case five million

10:51

four plus in guaranteed money. It's it's more in the case of a cam jurgens, but they feel like they

10:56

get some financial flexibility out of it. In addition to what you're actually getting in terms of

11:02

the picks, which is a very high one in 2028. This though brings me to the broader global question here,

11:09

she'll which I think that you're equipped you're uniquely equipped to answer. Again, Lane Johnson

11:14

retire and I don't want to overlook the import of that. How good of a player he was, how important he

11:19

was to that core four of the team that's now all gone. Fletcher Cox and Brandon Graham, Jason

11:24

Kelsey Lane Johnson, one uniform players, one two Super Bowls with the franchise. Is this now a

11:31

transition phase for the Eagles? And is this Eagles team 2026? We'll talk about 2028,

11:37

layer 2026. Is this team good? I don't think not right now. No, they're not a good football team

11:43

right now. I mean, you look at their first four weeks of the season, they need the last possession

11:47

to beat the commanders last possession to beat the Titans. They get blown out by the Bears and

11:52

Case Kingdom on national TV. And then last week, I guess you could look at that and say,

11:56

come on, she'll they had the Rams on the ropes in the last seven minutes. I mean, they were out

12:00

game by more than 200 yards in that game. They got they made some plays on special teams and they

12:05

got a couple turnovers. That's why they were in the game. It was not a down to down. Hey, they're

12:09

right there with the Los Angeles Rams. So they've got a lot to figure out. There's no doubt about it.

12:14

Earlier, I said, I think we both agreed they're not planting on the season, but Tom a month from now,

12:20

we could be having a different conversation where we're looking at it. I mean, they've got some very

12:24

interesting players like defense, attack, all Morrow Ojomo is a guy. Remember Milton Williams got paid

12:29

a couple of years ago. That's a player who's probably going to set to hit free agency. He's going

12:33

to get a big deal. If you're not in the mix, I could see teams being interested in a player like

12:38

that. I mean, who knows with someone like Seiko on Barclay, you know, at the deadline. So I think

12:42

they got this a big month for them. It's kind of a big pivot point in this era of Eagles football

12:47

with Nick Sireani and Jalen Hurts. That's been so successful over the last four, five years,

12:53

gotten to the Super Bowl twice, won a Super Bowl. But now you're looking at the roster and you're saying,

12:59

all right, you're not as good on the offensive line, which has always been the foundation of the

13:04

team, some of the other spots on offense. You traded AJ Brown. You've got some injuries on defense.

13:09

You fired. You got rid of your offensive line coach in the off season. There's just been

13:13

so many moving parts since the end of last season. That while I think right now, they would love to

13:18

win games and be competitive and figure this thing out offensively and be in the mix in December and

13:23

January. If it does go south, I don't think, you know, how we rose and will hesitate to lean a little

13:29

bit more towards the future than the current thing. We always also need to level set anytime we're

13:34

talking about the Eagles because I mean, you lived there, sheel. Everything is deathcon one.

13:39

Every Eagles lost his fire. Everybody blow it up. It's all terrible. And I think that we have

13:45

to remember Nick Sireani has the highest winning percentage of any active head coach who has been

13:51

on the job at least five years. He's been to two Super Bowls. He's won one of them. And Jalen Hurts

13:57

during that playoff run in that Super Bowl was a well-earned Super Bowl MVP. He was playing

14:03

at that high of a level. The biggest question to me and we talked about this through the course of

14:07

camp was going to be you're bringing in Sean Manion and that McVey, Shanahan, O'Connell,

14:13

the Flure, all those guys that Sean Manion played for or coached with. It's that style of offense.

14:18

And it doesn't look like a fit on paper for Jalen Hurts. So one thing if I'm sitting here and going,

14:23

what is the silver lining in all of this? It's that Jalen Hurts by the way, who didn't have

14:30

sake one last week and probably won't or you know, it's knocked out of the game. We'll probably

14:34

miss a couple of weeks. Devante Smith didn't play last week. Probably going to be out at least

14:37

another week here. Now the offensive line's a lot of moving parts. I haven't felt like Jalen Hurts

14:42

looks bad. I felt like on the whole, especially in the first two games, he makes a ton of plays.

14:48

Even these last two weeks, I didn't sit there going Jalen Hurts as the reason they're losing games.

14:52

Like that thing should keep getting better. Is he ever going to be fully comfortable playing that

14:57

style under center, play action, turn your back to the line of scrimmage? I don't know. And maybe

15:01

they get to the end of this season and say it just wasn't a fit. You know, we're going to let's see if

15:05

we might have the opportunity to get someone in who's a better fit for what we want to do. But for Jalen,

15:09

Hurts again, this is a really, really good football player who's playing a little bit fish out of

15:14

water at this point schematically. And I feel like there's still growth opportunities there based

15:20

on what I've seen through the first four weeks. It's a big question facing the team right now.

15:24

Is do they double down on this big offensive scheme change? You mentioned it. More under center,

15:28

under center, play action. Hey, let's target the middle of the field more. That's with this summer

15:33

that was all the talking Philadelphia. You go out to practice. That's what they were doing. And they've

15:37

already sort of, it feels to me, been inching away from it and the numbers would back it up that

15:42

there's still bottom five bottom eight in under center. They're bottom five bottom eight in under

15:46

center, play action. They're bottom five in targeting the middle of the field where they're trying

15:50

to find this balance, I think, where hey, some of this stuff we don't look totally comfortable with.

15:55

And we're losing some games. Do we mix in more of the old stuff now? Is there some hybrid that can

16:01

work? Do we double down and say, what we wanted to do in the off season? That's what we're doing.

16:05

It we got to give it some time. We got to be patient. That's something to keep an eye on just the

16:10

shape of the offense here in the weeks ahead because they're trying to figure things out while

16:14

also trying to win games. And that might not be the easiest thing to do. When like you mentioned,

16:19

the defense hasn't been as dominant as I think the team probably internally thought it was going to

16:23

be going into the season. And now you just lost one of if not the best right tackles of the past

16:29

decade permanently barring some unforeseen change in Lane Johnson's plans here. And oh yeah,

16:35

you go on the road to face a Jacksonville team that now it's been four weeks and this varies,

16:41

you know, wildly. I mean, I watched a discussion this morning on TV about just Josh Alling going

16:45

to tank the bill season. Like that's the point we are here. Everything. It's all a

16:50

recency bias. But the Jaguars right now are playing really good football. They had a tough time,

16:55

you know, in Denver, but other than that, they've looked like a pretty dominant team to this

16:59

point. And I don't think that it's an overreaction to say you at least have to consider them

17:03

among the favorites in the AFC right now. Second most wins in the NFL since the start of last season.

17:09

I mean, the test of just like, you know, your friend who is a big football fan, if you ask them

17:14

that question, I don't think most people would have gotten that. I was surprised when I just looked

17:19

it up this morning. Second best point differential behind the Seahawks since the start of last season.

17:24

So stuff doesn't always translate from one season to the next, but given that that was Liam Cohen's

17:29

first year last season, and he's still there in the quarterback and the coach are the same and the

17:34

defensive coordinators the same. They've been on a really impressive run and they passed the

17:38

eye test. It doesn't feel fluky. They can win in different ways. The run games better this year.

17:43

Trevor Lawrence is just peppering throws to the middle of the field. The scheme is very good.

17:48

And defensively, it's like, it's not perfect, but I do like the sort of the personality that they

17:54

have. They play hard. They're going to be aggressive. They're not just sitting back. They seem to be

17:58

able to make plays and create turnovers. And so there, I think seven point favorites in this game

18:04

against the Eagles time. And I was looking back 2021 is the last time the Eagles were an underdog

18:11

by seven points. It kind of, it includes the playoffs. I mean, that puts into perspective

18:16

what a run the Eagles had been on and kind of where they are right now when you just look at how

18:22

they're being viewed against an upper echelon team. One of the fascinating things too about the

18:26

Jaguars is you mentioned the run game being better. That's after Travis, he was ATN at the time.

18:32

Now he's ATN in New Orleans leaves in free agency. They make a run at JK Dobbins and they think

18:38

they got him and then it kind of blows up and he doesn't end up going there. They end up with,

18:43

I don't think a lot of people could sit there. You might know Basel Tutin, but like you're not sitting

18:47

there rattling off the Jaguars depth chart, but they've got this philosophy. What Liam Cohen is doing

18:53

offensively, it's the foundation of everything they do. I mean, do the Jaguars have a number one

18:58

receiver? I don't know about that, but they got several guys who are really, really good number

19:03

twos between Jacobi Myers, Parker Washington, Brian Thomas Jr., who I'm sure once again be the

19:09

subject of trade rumors. I have no expectation they're trading Brian Thomas Jr. You got a really

19:14

good tight end in Brenton's strange and you got a quarterback in Trevor Lawrence who was playing

19:18

pretty well, but point being, I don't know that you look at that team and you just go, God,

19:22

there's so much more talented than everyone else, but they are really well coached. They seem to

19:27

have an approach every week that tests you and it's going to be a test too for a Vic Fangio

19:31

defense that I don't think has played to the standard of most Vic defenses that we've seen over his time.

19:36

Yeah, it's the run game. It's like you mentioned, they spread the ball around and they have like a

19:41

few plays every game where, wait, which receiver was that? That was an unbelievable play. Oh,

19:46

Parker Washington, this we go, Jacobi Myers, one of the tight ends, it just feels like those guys come

19:51

through over and over again and are really well coached. And I mean, their thing is just the middle

19:56

of the field. It feels like that void between the linebackers and the safeties. They are

20:00

exploiting that. If they see a weakness there, if Liam Cohen sees a weakness in that area of your

20:05

defense, he's not messing around. He'll just like we, we will just target that area over and over

20:10

again, Trevor Lawrence is is is throwing with the anticipation. And that's an issue for the

20:15

Seagulls defense. They've had some issues at linebacker. They've had some issues at safety. And so

20:20

yeah, it could be a long day for them. They still do have the veteran defensive coordinator.

20:25

We'll see if he has something cooked up here on Sunday morning, but I think it's a tough matchup.

20:30

It's a good matchup, I think, for Jacksonville. There's some other really good matchups on the

20:34

slate too. One that I think it's the most played rivalry in the NFL. Everyone knows the history.

20:40

Everyone knows the recent history. And I also understand the people look at the Packers and

20:44

just go, they're kind of in disarray right now. And they're probably lucky to be two and two.

20:49

Honestly, with the way they've played their personnel challenges, all the injuries they've had.

20:54

But this game bears at Packers feels like a really, really big game. Ben Johnson's already said

21:00

Tyson Beijing's going to start a quarterback unless that is an elaborate ruse to throw Matt LaFlure

21:05

off the set. I expect it's going to be a Beijing bean the starting quarterback. And this is the

21:10

Packers with this team coming into their building. It's been a long time since the Bears have won

21:15

several games in a row in this series. They have had the Packers number over the past couple of years.

21:21

Green Bay is going to have to find a way to play it at a higher level. And if you do,

21:25

if you beat the Bears, I don't do this any reason you should just write off the Packers

21:29

from being a playoff team once again. But what they've got over Cum Sheel is the offensive line.

21:35

They signed three veterans last week, basically saying like, our young guys aren't going to cut it.

21:38

We got to totally redo this thing. They lost the right tackle. They still don't have the running

21:42

back. They lost one of their top receivers. And defensively, we're all waiting for

21:46

Mike Parsons to everyone thought we'd be back by week five or six. And then as I reported in

21:51

the sweep on some stack over the weekend, I don't know that we see him till November. And that's

21:55

not because of a setback. It's just because it's a long process. You know, the ACL plus the

22:00

meniscus, the Packers are really, really conservative. So it's like, you don't have, we don't know when

22:05

Mike Parsons or Josh Jacobs is walking through that door. In Jacobs case, at all, if he's walking

22:10

through that door. And so they have to find a way. And it's already shaping up to be one of those

22:15

seasons where if the Packers man's to get to 98 or 10 and 7, I feel like Malle Flore should be a

22:20

coach of the year candidate because on paper right now, like it is a mess. Yeah, that that

22:25

Edger and Cooper entry last week is kind of a two. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, that's a, that's a big

22:29

deal. He's one of the best defensive players. And they don't, I don't think they have a lot of great

22:33

defensive players on the team, especially with Parsons out. So you're right that this is sort of a

22:39

narrative shaping type game. It feels like, you know, there's a scenario where the bears just

22:45

go in there and smack them down and they're just like, it's a, it's a different time now.

22:50

You know, Ben Johnson is here. I don't even know how far to take the hyperbodies with Ben Johnson

22:55

right now. I mean, they had 34 first downs last week with Tyson Beijing as their quarterback. And,

23:03

you know, it wasn't all, it's the run game. They just, that, that's the sign of a great coach,

23:07

the ability to adjust when you don't have all your guys and put together a performance,

23:12

performance like that days after doing it with case, Keenum. I mean, Ben Johnson has had the best

23:17

coaching job in the NFL so far this season. And if they continue to do it, their defense, I think,

23:22

has really overachieved also with Dennis Allen, where it's not the most talented unit, but those

23:26

guys are playing well too. If they just kind of crush the Packers, it's a new day in the NFC North.

23:32

And the Packers fans are going to be like, oh my gosh, what is our future and the bears fans

23:36

are going to be over the moon. On the other hand, to your point, the Flurr, I mean, his

23:41

profile reference page is very good. He wins a lot of games. He's won with different quarterbacks.

23:46

He's won under different circumstances. If they can find a way to sort of piece it together,

23:52

get a victory here. Again, they're one of those teams we just talked about. Stay in it, stay

23:56

in it, stay in it. Oh, Michael Parsons is back. Oh, our offensive line is playing a little bit better.

24:01

I'll give him credit. Last week was not pretty against the Bucks. They had a turnover inside the

24:06

five yard line. They had another turnover on the Tampa side of the field, but they adjusted.

24:11

I mean, love was getting rid of the football. I forget what two point four seconds or whatever it was.

24:16

Like they're recognizing a weakness, trying to adjust for it. And it was enough to win the game.

24:21

It wasn't enough to inspire Packers fans to say we're back, baby. No, you know, where this is

24:25

just like previous years, but it was enough to win the game. And I think that's got to be their

24:29

mentality this weekend and going forward. To me, this is a big Jonathan Ganon game too, because

24:34

the Packers defense up until last week when they're facing an under after rookie quarterback in his

24:38

first start, they just they hadn't played well. Again, Mike is a big deal. You take the best player,

24:43

the highest paid player off any defense and Lee, it's going to have a trickle down effect. That's

24:47

just the way that it works. Last week, they seem to put it together a little bit more, but now you

24:52

got Ben Johnson coming into town who not only takes this match up very personally, but is also one

24:58

of the most brilliant coaches in the NFL. He's a different starting quarterback three weeks in a row.

25:02

And if anything, it's looked like with case, Keenam and Tyson Beijing, he's opened up the playbook

25:07

because he knows he doesn't have guys who can go and when the, you know, the first couple reads

25:11

aren't there goes and makes magic happen. That's definitely not case, Keenam. It's really not

25:16

Tyson Beijing, although he's a really, really good quarterback and I wouldn't be surprised if he's

25:19

starting somewhere in 2027 is pending exactly how things play out whether the Bears would move them

25:25

and all those different things. But Ben is going to come in with a plan to attack whatever

25:29

weaknesses he sees on film. Like they're going to have their hands full. I don't think you can go in

25:34

saying, yeah, we'll beat him 17 to 14 again. I know that happened against the Vikings from the

25:38

reign a couple of weeks ago and they were able to display that grinded out defensive game. But

25:43

it's a great chess match. I think especially Ben going up against Ganon and let's see without

25:49

Cooper, as you mentioned, without Parsons, you know, exactly what Green Bay has in store. We've also

25:53

got Raiders at Patriots this week, which it's a rematch of the weirdest game of the 2025 season. I

26:01

know we've talked about it. I was there week one Raiders beat the Patriots in New England. Mike

26:06

Maribles first game is coached. Everyone goes, what's going on? Pete Carroll's revive in the

26:10

rate. Raiders lost basically every game after that Patriots basically won every game after that.

26:14

There was a complete flip after week one. Now you got a Raiders team that even in losing last week's

26:20

match, he looked pretty good and they go up against a Patriots team that I really believe. I

26:24

know we're going to talk Raiders later, but the Patriots, what you saw last week, I don't think that

26:28

was a fluke. I think that they really kind of found themselves and they Mike Maribles been good at

26:32

this through his career, take when all the noise is coming together and be able to refocus your

26:39

team on what actually matters. Yeah, Vrayblin, Drake may hate each other, May's got the yips and

26:45

shouldn't have traded K-Shambu. It's like, all right, what do you say after the game? We don't have to

26:48

take any more shit. That's basically what it is. Was it was a no more shit taking game for that?

26:54

And now, all right, don't have the left out. Now come and take care of business at home where your

26:58

fans will be. Finally, you'd take a little less on edge than they've been, but this is not a

27:02

not a cakewalk type of game. I haven't stretched. It's like we look at the schedule before the

27:07

season or even when we do it now. We're like, oh, well, their next three games are this and it's

27:10

just a reminder how much things change because I don't know that there's a big difference between

27:15

these two teams and how they're playing right now. I mean, you mentioned it. Patriots,

27:19

you have the bounce back game last week, but that's one game. And let's be honest, that came down to

27:25

a play at the end. Ifton Chisholm making that play or Josh Allen, not making a play at the end.

27:29

I mean, if one of those things goes differently, we're having a different conversation. We're saying,

27:33

okay, Patriots found some stuff they played well. Look at the yardage. Look at the offense, but,

27:38

there's still one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL. So it's such a reminder of how thin that

27:43

line is between how we kind of view these teams. So yeah, I think the Patriots do need to come back.

27:48

They need to make sure take care of business here because if they have a let down here and may

27:53

doesn't play well, we go back to the starting line of where we were a week ago or two weeks ago

27:59

with this Patriots team. So they got a string together a couple wins. But yeah, that's not one that,

28:03

you know, two weeks ago before the season, we would have circled Patriots Raiders week five. That's

28:08

going to be fun. Now it looks like one of the more fun matchups on the slate this weekend.

28:13

Bill's Rams got plenty of time to talk about that because that's not till Monday night. But

28:17

game of the week in my mind, 49ers at Seahawks, it's not close. You talk to people within the league.

28:22

A lot of people think the 49ers are the best team they've seen. It's just the question of,

28:27

frankly, the durability of a team that's got the oldest roster in the NFL. Everyone looks younger.

28:32

George Kiddell looks younger, Debo Samuel looks younger like this is what you're hoping to see,

28:37

especially on the offensive side. I mean, this could be that there's other good teams. Obviously

28:42

the Rams have to be in that conversation. Whoever comes out of the NC North has to be in that conversation.

28:47

But if you had a 49ers Seahawks and a championship game, I don't think anybody would be surprised.

28:52

And it feels like, I mean, this is one of those classes. You go back to, you know, the first Seahawks,

28:58

many Dynastie let's call it that. When the NC two years ago, but it was always those two teams

29:03

there at the end. And you might begin a little preview of what you're seeing in January this week.

29:07

And you know Kyle Shanahan's looking at that playoff game last year, but like, come on,

29:11

I didn't have anybody in that game. Everybody could praise Mike McDonald and the Seahawks won

29:16

the Super Bowl. But if we were healthy, I mean, how often, as he probably said in his career,

29:20

if we were healthy at the right time, he would already have a ring. He might have multiple rings.

29:26

So, you know, I mentioned Ben Johnson, I think has probably done the best coaching job this year.

29:30

Kyle Shanahan's right there. I mean, that that team, I was very concerned with the way

29:34

their summer went and the injuries and the age on the roster. And they just look legit every single

29:42

week. I mean, they beat in the Broncos, they beat in the Rams, like they beaten good teams. This

29:45

hasn't been a cakewalk schedule so far. So he's done a terrific job. And I'm sure he wants a shot

29:51

at the Seahawks at McDonald. Now that he's got his guys, they still have injuries, but he's got his

29:57

main guys. I think it's a more fair fight this weekend. Seahawks defense 49ers offense,

30:03

peak of their powers in a way, that's going to be a lot of fun. This is also, you know, we're

30:09

basically halfway to the trade deadline. Trade deadline is November 10th. Nobody's at like the

30:15

fire sale point. We had two trades last week, but they were unique circumstances. J. Jim McCarthy,

30:20

the Giants badly needed a quarterback. That's the guy they wanted. Minnesota was ready to move on.

30:24

And Joey Porter, Jr. was making abundantly clear. He had no intention of actually playing for

30:28

the Steelers and it was going to be a mess. So those happen, but like the real wave of the

30:33

trades feel start to come together after this weekend. You might already have some conversations

30:38

going on. I know there have been calls this week, mainly because of injuries, but people are

30:42

still feeling it out. Nobody wants to punt on their season after four games. But if you're

30:46

on four and that becomes 0 and 5, if you're one and three and that becomes one and four,

30:51

this is kind of the tipping point. Teams like San Francisco that have been hit, I mean,

30:56

in a bunch of different positions, but they're surely looking and going, all right,

30:59

we've probably got one move we can make before the deadline. Like what are we working with here?

31:04

How badly do we need, let's say a wide receiver before the deadline? Because all of a sudden,

31:09

again, those teams that are going to go into cell mode, they're having hard conversations

31:13

in the next few weeks. And a bunch of those teams, by the way, that are 0 and 4 right now,

31:17

all have early buys. Like the Texans have it in week 8. The chargers have it in week 7.

31:23

Like those are the teams that you're probably looking at. And it's like, all right,

31:26

they're going to get to those points that we're going to be ready to move. These games are extraordinarily

31:31

important, shield in terms of everybody getting a gauge on where they are. Your team, as well as

31:36

the teams you're trading with, may be figuring out, we got to start thinking about next season.

31:40

Nobody's quite there yet. Nobody's burning the building down yet. But I mean, even starting

31:46

tomorrow night where the bucks have the potential fall into 0 and 5 if they lose to the cowboys,

31:50

there's a recalibration. Once you take a fifth loss because at that point, you almost need

31:55

to run the table to get in. And if you figure you're not going to, well, now let's get aggressive and

31:59

have the best things in place that we can for next season. We all have our processes. I'm sure yours

32:05

is very intriguing, actually. I would love to know the ebbs and flows of your season. Like the

32:08

different checkpoints, you know, it's like, oh, all right, it's week 9, you know, maybe it's these

32:13

two teams that suck. I don't need to catch up on what they did on the condensed games. One of

32:18

you know, there's the tankathon. All right, when am I actually going to look at the draft order

32:22

and be like, oh, this is what it actually looks like. One of them for me is going to over the cat,

32:28

looking at the teams that are windless, clicking on the free agency tab and being, of course,

32:33

saying, could they move one of these guys? I did that this morning, Tom. I did it with the

32:36

bucks. I was looking at the box going, huh, if they go 0 and 5 on Thursday night, they lose the

32:42

Dallas. They're big underdogs. Who are the guys on this roster that could get moved? I'm close to

32:47

doing it with the chargers. Maybe I'll give them one more week here. But yes, we have a bunch.

32:52

Chargers. Yeah. I mean, Cleal Mac is the obvious one, but like Denzel Perryman, you know, his

32:58

contract is up at the end of the regular season. There's a bunch of like name, but do pre,

33:02

a bunch of name veterans. It also even, I mean, some young guys like to eat to Lee Poloto. Like,

33:08

I don't think that's the type of guy you'd want to trade, but they were nowhere on a contract

33:12

extension with them. You'd probably get, I mean, that's a top shelf pass rusher. Again,

33:16

I think the values probably better if you play it out and maybe franchise thing, but who knows?

33:20

These are the players that you're going to get calls on. But if you win a game this weekend,

33:24

you're convincing yourself, hey, one in four, even the bucks, think about this. If the bucks lose

33:29

that game to the Cowboys, we're going to talk more about that game later. But if they lose to the

33:33

Cowboys on Thursday night, they're 0 and 5 and everyone's going to go, it's Todd Bulls going to

33:38

get fired. What kind of big changes sell everybody? They haven't played a division game yet. And

33:43

they are still right now only two games back of the division lead. They literally can make up the

33:48

two games against every team in their division. I think weeks seven, they play the Panthers. I think

33:52

that that's the first division game they have on the slate. So you haven't even played your own

33:57

division, which right now nobody exactly is running away with, even though the Panthers and the

34:00

Cowboys are coming off of good performances. That's why it's so hard, man. Nobody wants to,

34:05

nobody wants to go cell mode really early in the season, you know, even, even in Major League

34:10

baseball. I know you cover that closely. Like you kind of get to July before the full on. Let's

34:15

sell everybody in the NFL. You only have so many games. I think we're a few weeks away from

34:20

like a lot of deals actually happening, but those conversations absolutely ramp up soon.

34:25

I think I think it's the playoff expansion in all this force where it's easier to convince yourself

34:29

that you can stay in it. We sneak in, we get hot, Baker may feel gets healthy. We're still a

34:34

talented roster. So I understand that you work all season for the games and for the season. And so

34:40

it's hard to play like, you know, for me, it's easy to be like, oh, they suck there. Oh,

34:43

and for they should just trade everybody and get rid of all these guys, get draft effects.

34:47

If you're in the building and this is your livelihood, you kind of want to hang in

34:52

until you can. And then you figure out, all right, let's have a realistic look at where we're at.

34:56

And then as you know, there's all the other interpersonal dynamics of a, does a GM want to save

35:01

their job? Is a coach want to save their job? Do they have stability? Do they have ownership

35:05

support where they can say, okay, we can trade these guys. And even if we lose more games the

35:10

second half of the season, it's okay. Because we have a long term vision. So now all those things come

35:14

into play. Max Crosby last year, remember, he wants to play. They don't want him to play. So now

35:19

there's player relationship stuff that you're trying to deal with. So it gets very interesting for

35:24

these teams as the losses accumulate. And they try to have a realistic view of how to eventually

35:30

get their team to be a winner. We're not exactly there, but we're probably like a weaker tool

35:34

away from a lot of those conversations. Not to mention there are some of those teams right now

35:38

that we thought would probably be better. They thought they would be better. And you have to ask

35:42

yourself, this is not the NBA where you plug in one player and it can change your season or even

35:47

in baseball, you plug in the number one starter. And it's like, all right, we just, we just cleaned up one

35:52

out every five games. The NFL, there's teams have to ask like, are we close enough to really go for

35:57

it? Or do we just kind of ride this out and see where we are? I think I have a bunch of teams that

36:02

fall in that category. There are also some teams that have been pleasantly surprising so far

36:07

this season. The Raiders are three in one. The Giants are three in one. The Rams who I think

36:13

another team that everyone wants to bury on a weekly basis kind of look like themselves down

36:17

switch. How seriously are we taking all these teams? She'll get thoughts on those and more coming

36:23

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37:12

All right. So Wednesday before the Thursday that kicks off week five. I got there. That took me

37:18

a second there on the calendar. Shield. We've got we're at the effective quarter pole. They

37:23

ruined that by putting in the 17th game. So it's not exact anymore. But let's just call it the

37:28

quarter pole. Who are some people or some teams on your mind that you're starting to think more

37:34

seriously about if at all? Yeah. This is, you know, we're trying to fill in for Billy. Not an easy

37:39

guy to replace here, you know, with his creativity for these Wednesday segments. Tom, we're going to

37:44

call it. It's not going to be a score. We could send us one by the way from Jury. Before you

37:48

went in, he could have given us an idea, some pre-print questions. But I put it on you because that's

37:53

generally what I do on the show. Lean on shield. That's a good point, actually. Yeah, we might

37:57

have to talk to him about that. So we're calling this one, how seriously are we taking this? So

38:02

this is a chance just to maybe talk about some topics, some teams that we haven't discussed in

38:07

depth this week and then get to some other things on my mind. So the first one, how seriously Tom,

38:13

are we taking the Las Vegas Raiders as a playoff team? You know, there are teams that get off to

38:18

hot stars that you weren't expecting and they're cute little stories in September and October. But

38:23

it's like, give me a break. We're not actually expecting this team to be playing in January.

38:27

Are we? So are the Raiders that kind of team or are they more than that? You know, they go toe-to-toe

38:33

with the Chiefs last week. It's really a special team's fumble and then two huge plays by the Chiefs

38:38

offense. But I mean, I don't think anyone watched that game and we're like, the Raiders are

38:43

overmatched by this Chiefs team. So they play well last week. They're three and one. We mentioned

38:48

it. They go to New England this week. I'm telling you, I don't know, I see a huge difference between

38:54

these two teams. I think these are two evenly matched teams. Can they go in there and everyone

38:59

saying the Patriots are back? They got their Mojo back last week. But we're going to go in there

39:04

and we're going to punch them in the mouth. Then we're going to have this creative,

39:08

offensive scheming with creating explosive plays that Kubi X done every week this season.

39:13

And now all of a sudden we're four and one and you have no choice but to take us seriously. So

39:18

where are you on that kind of, you know, which end of the spectrum are you on with this Raiders team

39:23

at three and one? As long as Kirk Cousins continues to play at the level he is, which is a

39:29

pro bowl level. Make no mistake about it. It's not just numbers. He's not just the massing stats.

39:34

He's really playing that well at quarterback. The Raiders can can beat anybody in the NFL.

39:39

They hung with the Chiefs last week. They obviously got off to the three and no start.

39:43

Fell short in that game. This is really now the stretch of schedule that we all looked at and

39:48

said, okay, if the Raiders are going to be for real, they got to get through this gauntlet.

39:52

Started last week at home against the Chiefs. Then they are at New England on Sunday.

39:58

They're home against the bills, home against the Rams. All right, that's four teams that you would

40:02

have all put in the conversation before the season. Those might have been the four teams at the

40:06

best Super Bowl winning odds going into the season and your face and four in a row. If you can get

40:10

out of that stretch two and two, I don't think there's any reason that you would say the Raiders can't

40:16

continue to be competitive. Now, they're still really young in some spots. You know, they've

40:20

had an injury at the wide receiver position. Who's going to kind of step up at that position.

40:26

Brock Bowers being back is a massive deal. They didn't really run it effectively last week with

40:30

action and genty, but I think that's probably a little bit more of an anomaly. Defensively,

40:35

they spent so much money and they accidentally got back one of the best pass vouchers in the NFL

40:39

and the trade guide vetoed. They're built on defense to win right now. Offensively, you're not quite

40:45

there, but you have a quarterback who is able to keep you because he knows that offense so well,

40:50

because he can still play at that level. You look at some of the throws he's had this season.

40:54

Like Kirk is, I know that Kirk always has that reputation of like,

40:59

he's always, you know, Mr. Eight and eight and the massive stats. He gets paid tons of money,

41:03

but like, how good is he actually? He's playing that well this season. If he continues to do that,

41:08

and again, this is not an easy game. I've looked at the weather report in New England. It's been

41:12

unseasonally warm here in the Midwest that it has been out in the Northeast as well. Maybe you

41:18

skip over what could be a normally a 45 degrees of rain day in New England to shield, but I would say,

41:24

I don't think there's any reason you sit there and say the Raiders can't be that good. Are they going

41:28

to win the Super Bowl? I don't know about that, but can it be a playoff team? I mean, I think we

41:32

saw them play a potential playoff team last week and hold their own. I take them seriously as a wild

41:37

car team. I'm with you. I think they can stay in the mix. Let's see how competitive they are

41:43

over these next three games. I mean, you're right about cousins. It's sort of, it almost feels like

41:47

it's an underrated story where you consider how we were talking about Kirk cousins at the end of

41:52

last season. Anybody could have had Kirk cousins. You know, you look at some of these teams now, and it's

41:56

like, huh, I wonder if they would have, if they would like a redo of that. And he's played really

42:01

well. Like you said, he knows the system, like the back of his hand, that's what really seems to

42:05

stand out when you're watching that game is the certainty there. The run game, like you said, has not

42:11

gotten to where they probably want it to be so far. That Crossbeat trade is interesting. Tom, if you

42:15

gave both teams the opportunity for a redo right now, I almost think like the Ravens would want the

42:23

and pass Max Crossbeat and say, we'll give up those picks because we kind of would love to have

42:27

that pass rush right now. And the Raiders might say, we don't want a redo. We like how this played

42:33

out. He's back with the Raiders. We feel like we're competing for a playoffs, but I was I was

42:37

thinking about that that maybe DeCosta and the Ravens are like, huh, what if we would have just passed

42:42

him on the physical and the knee would have been fine. We might be in better shape right now.

42:46

Well, the calculus also wasn't just, can Max play now? It was, can Max play in two, three years,

42:51

and we're going to multiple first round picks. Again, I mean, it doesn't help the Trey Andrixon

42:54

shattered his finger in the first or second game and then had to have surgery and now he's out. We'll

43:00

see if he ends up being back this week. But certainly, I mean, Max has made an impact. And he walked

43:05

back in the door of a vastly improved Raiders defense to the Cousins point actually wrote about this

43:11

over the weekend. The only other team that even really called on Kirk Cousins as a starter was

43:17

the Cardinals. They were about to be in that off season long battle with Jacobi Perset over his

43:23

contract and Michael Flore, similar type of an offense. So Kirk could have walked in there,

43:28

very similar to Clint Cousins. But Clint was the one who was all over Kirk to get him to Las Vegas.

43:35

Didn't want to have to play Mendoza immediately. They had to work out the money because Kirk wasn't

43:40

going to play for free. They ended up doing a, let's just call it very creative structure where the

43:45

Falcons are paying most of the money this year and the Raiders are paying a $10 million bonus

43:50

next year. I still would not take off the table. And I know that I get killed by Raiders fans every

43:54

time I say it. I still think there's a scenario out there, Shield, where some quarterback it's heard

43:59

late October early November and somebody throws a big pick at the Raiders and they just have to

44:04

seriously think about it. If they're in the playoff chase and they're on target to go to the playoffs,

44:10

it's going to be hard. Let's see, you can offer like a second round pick for Kirk Cousins.

44:15

It was on essentially a rental deal. You do have this, you know, kind of right in the contract

44:19

as the way they structure where they have a limited window to trade them or cut them or

44:24

keep them. Pick up his 22 year, $8 million dollar option in March. But like, if you got offered a big

44:30

pick now, it's not the wildest thing in the world for a 38 year old quarterback who's probably not

44:34

your starter next season to say we'd consider it. But right now Kirk's planted at a really,

44:38

you know, really, really high level and good for him. He's also on his 11th string. You're a fully

44:42

guaranteed money, which is always my favorite stat. He's, he's Mr. Fully Guarantee.

44:47

Him and Dak Prescott. Yeah, this, this era of if you really want to just maximize your value and,

44:53

you know, that those are the blueprints for how to do it. I was just looking at all the teams and

44:58

being like, is there a team that there's a great what if for I feel like the Colts might be the

45:03

closest. If they were like, we don't want to give Daniel Jones all that money coming off the injury.

45:08

We can get Kirk cousins. He's playing inside. He's got it, you know, with a good offensive coach

45:12

and a good infrastructure around him. That's one that maybe would have been a little bit interesting

45:17

there. But it's not just cousins to your point. I mean, their defense is probably the part of the

45:21

the team that's really surprised me where there are a much more well rounded team so far than I

45:26

thought they were going to be. You look at that defensive depth chart. It's not even close to the

45:30

most talented defense in the league. In fact, probably before the season, I would have told you,

45:34

it's one of the five least talented defenses in the NFL. But the money they paid those guys in

45:40

free agency, you never know how that's going to work out. It's worked out. And Kobe Dean's been

45:44

terrific. You get Crosby back and they figured it out. I mean, good job. Their defensive coordinator

45:50

Rob Leonard, their fight state. They try stuff. They get burned by the blitz last week. But I'm like,

45:54

you know what? That's going to happen. You're not you're you're the kind of the inferior team on paper

45:59

here. It's Patrick Mahomes on the other side. Sometimes you got to try stuff. It's not always

46:04

going to work out. But I didn't have a problem with it. They're going for the win in that spot. So

46:08

yeah, I like the makeup of the team. That cousins trade thing, man. That's that's interesting. Because

46:14

I feel like if you're in the playoffs mix, unless it's something crazy, which I I think, you know,

46:20

I don't know that it's going to get to that level. I just feel like you're give your fans a

46:25

season where you make the playoffs and you feel good about it. You might regret it afterwards and

46:30

be like, Oh, we could have really used that second round pick. But for that fan base and that, you

46:35

know, that organization specifically, I feel like you don't throw away a chance. And maybe it's not

46:40

throwing away a chance. Maybe they're like, Mendoza's looks good. But that would just almost make

46:45

me a little little nervous if they made a move like that. It would have to be because you feel like

46:50

Fernando is ready to play at a similar level. He's benefited a lot, you know, during practice.

46:55

He mirrors all the curks reps on the side. He spends extra time, you know, in the meeting rooms

47:00

with Mike Sullivan, the quarterbacks coach, Andrew Milco, the OC, like he gets all kinds of like

47:04

different projects and things that they want him to work on. So like they're trying to accelerate it.

47:08

Let's be honest, like everyone's jobs in Las Vegas, ultimately, they don't depend on do you make

47:13

the playoffs? Do you win a playoff game this year with Kirk? It's just Fernando gets you where

47:16

you want to go. That's what everything is going to be tied to here. If they don't feel like it's

47:20

the right time, of course, you don't trade Kirk and put Fernando in there before he's ready.

47:24

But two months into the season, he's been taking all this guy out team reps. He's been getting the

47:28

extra work. If you feel like we can do it. And again, this is all contingent. I'm not saying they

47:33

want to trade Kirk cousins. So that's far from it. But if you got offered a big pit for a guy who

47:38

probably isn't going to be there next year and is 38 years old, you have to consider anything that

47:43

makes your team better, not just now, but in the big picture. Let's see. Let's see where they are

47:48

after this gauntlet next three weeks here. They're all in one in the gauntlet, but they've been

47:51

competitive. You get through that two and two and you're five and two approaching the midpoint

47:56

of the season. I don't think you're in the mood. Certainly the owner of Mark Davis is not going to

48:01

be in the mood to go and trade your starting quarterback. But that also means Kirk cousins is playing

48:05

at a really high level. Somebody gets hurt. Who knows? I like this. We're setting up for maybe an

48:11

interesting trade. I like the trade deadline. I like all the maneuvering, some transactions

48:15

as much as the actual games. Maybe we'll get some juice in the next few weeks next month.

48:19

I can remember you were in Philly the year that they traded Sam Bradford at the end of training

48:24

camp. His Teddy Bridgewater blew out his knee on the last day of camp. Nobody was sitting there.

48:30

The thing in Carson Wentz is going to be the starting quarterback. Except internally,

48:33

they're like Carson looks really good. We just got off from things like a first and a fourth for

48:37

Sam Bradford. It was like Carson's the weak one starter. Circumstances dictate a lot. We don't

48:43

want anybody to get hurt, but it happens. It's already happening in this season. Let's find out.

48:48

It's going to be an interesting month or so ahead. We'll say, all right. Next one here for you.

48:52

How seriously are we taking the New York Giants as potential NFC East champs? I don't know if you

49:00

look at who looks at the standings this early. All right. I looked this morning. I did. And it's

49:05

you wouldn't think it. I think if you walked up to your average football fan on the street said,

49:09

hey, who's alone in first place in the NFC East? They're not getting to the Giants.

49:14

They're not. They're not guessing that because every headline's been Jackson Darts hurt, Brian Burns

49:19

has hurt. There's going to be a lot of questions about how long you stick with with James Winston.

49:25

And my answer would be you stick with them as long as you win. I do think you take this seriously

49:31

that they can be the division champs because right now Dallas still trying to figure out their

49:34

defense. They took the big swing on Joey Porter Jr. We'll see if that stabilizes some things.

49:39

You got a bright young coordinator and Christian Parker was probably growing into the job a little

49:43

bit here. You have the Eagles who just, you know, last week, obviously the last two games hasn't been

49:49

great and blowing lead against the Rams. I still think the Eagles are a really tough team. And I'm

49:54

not counting out the commanders. That's a big game. This weekend, Jayden Daniels should be back

49:58

bar in complications in practice. This is Washington's chance to say a float in the NFC East in the

50:06

early going here. It's a home game for them. And James, like we all know what the James Winston

50:12

experience is. It's a roller coaster. He's going to make some plays. He's also going to give you

50:16

a chance to make some plays. That defense has been pretty salty. Duranty Jones learned a lot from

50:20

Brian Flores and Minnesota. I've been impressed with the young coordinators. It's a big game for them.

50:25

James, when that they go to four and one, I think you definitely have to start saying,

50:28

you're taking it seriously, even though from week to week, you may not 100% know how confident they are

50:34

in their QB1. I can't get there yet with the giants. I mean, you watch that game against the

50:40

Carden. You mentioned it. I mean, James, he was taking more chances. It was different than the

50:45

previous weeks, but I can't imagine that that guy's going to quarterback a division winner. I'll do

50:51

respect this year. It's going to be a roller coaster, but there's going to be more downs than

50:56

ups. And I feel like the rest of the roster isn't quite in position where you can make up for that.

51:01

Now, here's where I will give them credit is John Harbob before the season. You know, he did the

51:06

team meeting and everyone's make it fun of him that that got clipped and we're wondering,

51:11

well, the Ravens, you know, Ravens fans, any Ravens fans, you talk to, they're like, we're good with

51:16

this guy going, we need a new start here with a new coach. I think he's established that level of

51:21

competence that they were looking for. When you have a backup quarterback in and you're winning

51:26

games, I just don't think that happens with their previous regimes and their previous infrastructure

51:31

on that coaching staff. So I don't think it's perfect. I think there are little morsels that you like,

51:35

Arvel Reese, the rookie looks like he's a player. He's an impact. He's an impact for Arvel Reese.

51:42

Deon, even a guy like Deon Tay Banks, you know, these stories are always good sort of indicators

51:47

about a coaching staff where it's like he's kind of buried. It looks like that wasn't a good pick.

51:51

He's the cornerback. He was a first round pick in 2023. He played fewer than 50% of the snaps last

51:57

year. I think, all right, I'll play out his rookie contract. He'll go somewhere else. They throw him

52:01

in the lineup and he had a big interception at the end of that game. He had some other good plays.

52:06

It wasn't perfect. He gave up a touchdown, but like they're getting something out of him that

52:10

wasn't there previously. I think that's a good sign of the coaching staff as well. So yeah,

52:14

this is sort of a weird game in Washington. They're three and a half point underdogs, even though

52:20

they're three and one on the season. It's NFC East. It's probably going to be ugly. It's going to be

52:25

grimy. You look at some of the talent. You're like, all right, this isn't a marquee matchup

52:30

in week five, but if they're four and one, then we got to continue talking about them if they

52:35

can win that game in Washington. There's no doubt. If the commanders, they're one of those teams.

52:39

If they fall to one and four, I anticipate that they continue to compete. They're not going to

52:43

blow it up immediately, but just to have to start to look at some of the veteran players on their

52:47

roster because you're going to get calls. You're going to get calls about Stefan Diggs, who looks

52:51

excellent in the early portion of the season. Jayden Daniels, I keep saying it. Second half of

52:56

the first game, first half of the second game until he got heard. Looked like Jayden Daniels again.

53:01

So if you want to buy into the optimism, David Blow with multiple backup quarterbacks,

53:05

it seems like it's called really good games. Again, Drante Jones, what he's doing defensively,

53:10

all those different walk everybody up to the line. Don't know, let him know where the blitz is

53:13

coming from. It's been pretty effective for him. I'm not counting them out. The commanders from

53:19

my team before the season, I said, could be the one no one's talking about that I thought could

53:22

make noise. I still feel that way. They got a lot of injuries. They're banged up at a bunch of

53:27

spots. You look at their offense right now. It started when tons of went down before the season.

53:32

They've got their challenges. But again, get this win. The whole division then is clumped

53:37

at that point, right? No one's going to be better than three and two. No one's going to be worse

53:40

than two and three. Let's see how it shakes. It's a to sneaky fun game in week five where I feel

53:47

like we've got a bunch of them. I was just looking at that. You're right. If the commanders win that

53:51

game, you're right. Everybody's three and two or two and three after five games. This is the NFC

53:56

East, the new NFC South this year. Maybe I have to take on firing off next week. We'll see

54:02

how this looks better over the last one. That's a lot weaker too. The NFC Falcons might be legit,

54:08

Panther. So we'll see there. Okay. My next one for you. I got two more for you time. The next one

54:12

is how seriously are we taking this Brock Purdy as an MVP candidate? You know, the narratives

54:21

around Purdy since he first started playing for the Niners. It was, well, it's Kyle Shanahan.

54:26

Anyone can go in there and play well. And then it happened year after year after year and

54:31

there are guys injured and it seems like Purdy's still playing well and is like, well, wait a minute.

54:35

We maybe should give the quarterback a little bit more credit. They beat the Broncos last week,

54:40

which I thought was a very interesting game in that. The first half it felt like Shanahan was more like

54:45

we're not going to lose the game. We don't need we're not going to win the game in the first half.

54:48

Let's not lose the game. Broncos suffered some injuries at corner. Shanahan starts cooking.

54:53

Like you mentioned earlier, George Kiddall. That felt more like a Shanahan win than a Purdy win to

54:59

me. But the first three weeks, I would have said Purdy's playing as well as any quarterback in the

55:03

NFL. So I was looking at the odds this morning. Josh Allen, first in MVP odds, Brock Purdy, number two.

55:12

And he's got this big game against Seattle coming up this weekend where they've got more of

55:16

their guys than they had in the playoffs last year. I feel like if Purdy plays well in this game

55:22

and the 49er speed to see offs, this is going to be a conversation a lot of people are having next week.

55:28

Brock, when healthy is the most efficient quarterback in NFL history. And that is a statistical fact.

55:34

If he had enough qualifying starts, he would be number one by far in pass or any. He leads the NFL

55:39

this season in pass or any. And I know that that's not a complete quarterback statistic because of

55:44

the value that Josh Allen brings in terms of being a runner. Brock can make things happen with his

55:49

legs when he needs to as well. And it's not everything within the structure of the Shanahan system,

55:53

although he's very, very good at that. It's also those things he can make happen outside of

55:57

structure. The only reason that Brock Purdy shouldn't be in the MVP race this season is if he gets hurt.

56:04

He's gotten hurt basically every season of his career and he's missed time. If he doesn't do that,

56:09

he plays all 17 games, it finishes with a 126 pass or any. I find it hard to believe that he's not

56:16

right there with those other guys. And then you get into the subjectivity of the voting. And what are

56:22

we actually basing it on? When I had a vote for those awards, I would basically pull people in the

56:28

league and let them cast the vote for me because I ultimately don't know what I'm looking at. They do.

56:33

There's other people who just vote based on their gut or vote based on, you know, whatever highlight

56:38

real they saw. And everyone gets to do that. I don't think there's any, you know, real ground rules

56:42

that the AP has other than, you know, you can't vote for like non-football stuff like you don't like a

56:47

guy or his politics or whatever. You can't vote against him for that. Beyond that, you can vote for

56:53

whoever you want. And then we would see, you know, if Josh Allen finishes the season like Josh

56:57

Allen and not like, you know, some of the bumps you've seen over the last two weeks, you know, he's

57:01

probably just going to get if you're on the fence, you mean Josh Allen because he's Josh Allen. But Brock,

57:06

what he does, it's unmatched in the entire NFL. His only issue is having his career, his health.

57:11

So far this season, he is healthy. I got chance to talk with him in Australia before they play the

57:16

Rams in week one. He's just, he's very confident. He's very comfortable in his skin. He's going back

57:22

a little bit to just be very intentional about being coachable and getting some things maybe grounded

57:27

back that might have gotten away from him. But the past couple of years, he looks awesome so far.

57:31

So I absolutely have taken seriously the idea of him as an MVP candidate.

57:35

It's been a pretty predictable award over the years to your point. You know, people vote on different

57:40

things. But it usually last year was an exception. But usually it's just like, look at the one

57:44

in the two seat in each conference. And who's the best quarterback out of those four teams? I mean,

57:50

real or you know, that's really what it has come down to most of the time over the last 10, 20 years

57:55

here. They're one of three undefeated teams here. And if they win the NFC West, no one's going to look

58:00

at that and go, they want a bad division. It's going to be like, whoa, they'd be, be out two of the

58:05

best teams in the entire NFL to win that division. And the numbers are just going to be there for

58:10

Pertie. I mean, they're there. They're every single year. It's actually really funny. If you

58:14

do anytime I do some type of search and I go deep on the nerd stats as you know, and I'm looking

58:20

last 10 years. And it's like, Pertie, Pertie, Pertie, you know, Aaron Rogers MVP season.

58:26

Pertie. And he just looked at like my homes, you know, and what was that 2019 Pertie. It's like,

58:30

these are the seasons just in terms of efficiency, even just EPA last 10 years, you know,

58:37

his EPA through the first four weeks of the season is the highest of any quarterback in the last 10

58:42

seasons. Yeah, it's crazy. You can't look anything out without saying Brock Pertie's name. So

58:47

statistically, analytically, I think he passes the eye test for sure. I think he's just gotten

58:52

better. Like you said, he's gotten more comfortable. So big spot for him against the Seahawks. That's

58:57

going to be really interesting to see how Shanahan approaches it and how well Pertie's able to play

59:03

against that Seahawks defense. All right. I got one last one for you here. Tom.

59:07

All right.

59:08

For how seriously are we taking the idea that the Rams are now the team we expected them to be? We've

59:15

had a roller coaster. You and Australia make they make a fun of himself for the travel plans.

59:21

The Garrett injury, the Puka Nikoa injury last week wild game against the Eagles. They're two and two.

59:28

Yet I think there's a case that you look at. I've been like, of course, they're the best team.

59:32

In the NFL or if you're a hater, you could look it up and go give me a break. If they don't get

59:36

like a fourth and two stop in that game against the Eagles last week, they're one and three. And

59:41

their team we're talking about panicking about. So where are you on that range with this Rams team that

59:46

came into the season with so much hype? It's still up and down for me. I'm not taking seriously

59:53

that the Rams are what the general public thought where they were by far the best odds when the

59:58

Super Bowl. Everyone was like, well, they basically loaded up. It's like the Dodgers and there's

1:00:03

why even not why I have a season. But basically like there's so much better and all these things.

1:00:10

They're not there right now. The best teams in the NFL dominate inferior opponents.

1:00:17

The Rams did dominate the Giants. I'll be at in a game where Jackson Dirt went down and

1:00:21

like the whole soul of the Giants was crushed. And James Winston looked like he had just learned

1:00:26

to throw a flip all that day. They played a close game against the Broncos and lost. They played

1:00:30

a close game against the Eagles and lost. And they got beat pretty soundly, especially in the

1:00:34

second half against the 49ers in week one. Like in order to say the Rams are what we thought they

1:00:40

would be. And again, I'm using the Royal Wee, not the two of us. They got to come out and like

1:00:45

beat up on a on a good team. You know, they got to get like a strong start to finish win against

1:00:50

the bills, for instance, on Monday night. After that, the Cardinals, like you should blow up the

1:00:54

Cardinals. You should win ad Vegas. You should beat up on the Chargers. You should beat up frankly

1:00:58

on the commanders and the Cardinals again. Like that's the rest of their schedule before the

1:01:02

buy-sheel. After this week, they got the bills. And then it's Cardinals Raiders. Again, Raiders,

1:01:07

three and one taking nothing away from the O and four Chargers, the one and three commanders,

1:01:11

the one and three Cardinals. That's your schedule. So if they are now winning those games by 20 points

1:01:17

and playing in all facets of the game, if Puka continues to stay healthy, which is a lot going

1:01:23

on in that situation. I know he visited specialists. Everybody agreed he can continue to play,

1:01:27

but those groin injuries or a doctor or whatever they are, pre-Hernia or Hernia. Those make me nervous

1:01:33

because you're one weird thing away from happening. That's like it's surgery in its eight weeks.

1:01:38

As long as they're healthy, and at some point you get miles back, they got a chance to be that team.

1:01:42

Right now, I think as much as anything, you are seen the Matthew Stafford and Sean McVey remain

1:01:48

among the best at their respective jobs in the NFL because when the pressure is on and you're

1:01:52

playing these tight games, you're down. They found a way to rally against the Eagles. They found a

1:01:58

way to keep everybody playing and to adjust and come back at the end. That's coaching and quarterback

1:02:04

play in terms of the whole team together. Let's see, starting Monday night against the bills,

1:02:08

and then in that stretch of games you would think on paper, the ranch would be winning all these.

1:02:13

Let's see what they look like and I'll give you more of a sound verdict by the by.

1:02:17

I think I'm on the other side a little bit. I think I feel great about them.

1:02:21

I just look, I feel like they've had all those things you mentioned have gone against them

1:02:26

or have not gone their way, but I still watch them every week and I'm like, this is a great team.

1:02:31

They outgain the giants by 300 yards. They outgain the Broncos by 225 yards. They outgain the Eagles

1:02:37

by 244 yards. There's only been seven games this year where a team has outgain its opponent by 200.

1:02:43

Three of those seven have been the Rams. Now, the things on the margins make me nervous time and

1:02:48

the special teams. I don't understand with these Sean McVeigh Rams, why it seems to be an issue

1:02:55

every year. I mean, even last week, that could have been the thing that caused them the game.

1:02:59

So if I'm in that building, I'm like, everybody take a deep breath, but Sean, what's our plan

1:03:04

for figuring out special teams? We do not want to get into a playoff game or a big game against

1:03:09

the Seahawks or the 49ers or a high leverage game in week 17 or week 18 and we lose that game

1:03:16

because of special teams. So I think everything else, I feel really good about you mentioned

1:03:20

Stafford Nakuwa, Kyron Williams is playing the best football of his career. I mean, his touch down

1:03:25

run last week was incredible. He's been fantastic. You know what you're getting from McVeigh.

1:03:29

You know what you're getting from Stafford. Even defensively without Miles Garrett. I mean,

1:03:33

Chris Shula had the Eagles headspin last week with some of his blitzes and pressures and

1:03:39

simulated pressures. I think he's done a good job with the injuries he's had on that side of the

1:03:43

ball. So I like, I think they're about to go on a run. It's basically what I'm about to say.

1:03:47

You gave the schedule. We'll see where I land on that game against the Bills Monday night, but

1:03:52

I think if you look at like the next six weeks or so, I think they're going to go on a run.

1:03:55

I think they're going to get Garrett back. I think we're going to get to December and the hype that

1:04:00

this team had coming into the season is going to be there. Just check out those special teams. Sean,

1:04:05

if you're listening, that's all I'm saying. I do think that bringing in above event for

1:04:09

on will pay dividends over time. Sean cycled through so many different coordinators in this time

1:04:14

there. There is, you know, it's not quite like offensive defense, but there are still different

1:04:17

schemes and you're trying to figure out your new personnel. I anticipate they'll get better

1:04:22

in that area. It's just the number one concern with me with the Rams. I said this before the season.

1:04:27

I said after Miles went on, I heard it's just when you have an older team. How healthy can you

1:04:31

stay and also positive 49ers in their own division? How healthy are those older star players can

1:04:37

stay if the Rams can get guys back as opposed to losing them? Obviously, that'll be a huge positive

1:04:44

for them moving forward. We've got a game Thursday night kick of the thing off. It's the Bucks

1:04:50

and the Cowboys. It's more compelling than you think. Play live. That's Bucks at Cowboys. Thursday

1:04:56

night football kicking off week five. Sheel. I'm not in the camp of, you know, it's win or everyone gets

1:05:04

fired in Tampa. The Glazers and their three decades of ownership have never fired a coach

1:05:10

in season. They haven't played a division game yet. They're playing with an undrafted rookie

1:05:14

backup quarterback, but certainly something has to change if you fall to 0 and 5. So that makes this

1:05:20

a particularly important game ahead of a minibuy. It'll feel a lot different one in four than it

1:05:25

would at 0 and 5. And for the Cowboys, it's a big game too. It feels like there have been times.

1:05:32

And this is strictly anecdotal, but it feels like there have been times through the years. Sheel,

1:05:36

where the Cowboys in particular have been subject to that low game where team comes in and they've

1:05:41

got a bad record. I think back to the game, the Cowboys play this is prior regime, but they played

1:05:46

against the Broncos at home. And it was like they were heavy favorites and like Javante Williams

1:05:50

for ants like 150 yards and they just blew their doors off. Thursdays are always weird. I kind of

1:05:56

wondered like the Cowboys, especially defensively like are they fully ready to go? The offense looked

1:06:01

awesome, especially CD Lam. Last week, I think it's a sneaky good game because the Bucks absolutely

1:06:06

know what's on the line. Bakers should be back in the relatively new future. What do you make of it?

1:06:11

Bucks were competitive last week against the Packers. They're in that game to the end. I struggle with

1:06:17

this Bucks team because if you look at it, yes, they're owing for they're playing a backup quarterback.

1:06:23

They've been a disappointment this year. On the other hand, I feel like some of the excuses are

1:06:28

relevant with the Bucks. You know, they four one score games. They're not getting blown out in any of

1:06:32

these games. They've lost four games by a total of 20 points. They're in all of these games.

1:06:38

You have an injury to your starting quarterback. It's just like they like it doesn't look to me like

1:06:42

a poorly coached team. I know the instinct is to just look at it and go, oh, they're going to be

1:06:46

all in five. They're disappointing Todd balls. It's a short week. Yeah, time before the next week.

1:06:50

Now's the time to pull the plug. I don't look at it and go. They're losing because the coaching staff

1:06:55

is doing a bad job. I actually think their defense has played pretty well. If you look at some of

1:07:00

the numbers, it backs it up that they've been one of the more surprising units in the NFL. It's

1:07:05

like offensively, what do you kind of expect when you lose your backup quarterback and you're starting

1:07:10

an undrafted free agent here who I don't think was terrible. You know, he scrambled a little bit.

1:07:15

He baits and plays. He's going to make mistakes that you expect from a rookie undrafted free agent.

1:07:20

So I don't like I'm hesitant to pull the plug on too early because of what you said earlier about

1:07:26

the schedule and it's the NFC South that can you just hang in there. So I'm with you. I don't think

1:07:31

even if they lose this game, it's not like we're trading everybody. We're looking ahead to next

1:07:36

season. I don't think that's how they operate. I don't think that's how they built the roster.

1:07:40

You just pay Baker Mayfield, you know, all that money. It's not like you're looking ahead to drafting

1:07:45

a quarterback or anything. So I think you want to see some signs of life here. It'd be great if you

1:07:50

can steal a win. Even if you can't, I don't think there are team that's going to punt on their season.

1:07:55

It might sound crazy, but even if they go 0 and 5, I don't think they're going to look at it and say,

1:07:59

all right, we're looking ahead to 2027. I was a guarantee there's no one more pissed off right now

1:08:04

than Baker Mayfield. Not only that they're 0 and 4, but that he's not able to play. Did he

1:08:09

got hurt on that freaky thing where he's scrambling around trying to make something happen at the end

1:08:13

of the Minnesota game? He got the stitches out of his thumb on Monday. I know that they said minimum

1:08:18

three weeks. It could be up to six. I'm just telling you, Baker and his mind wants to beat the timeline.

1:08:25

The doctors are going to have their say, but Baker will absolutely in my mind. He's got to regain

1:08:31

the grip strength. Okay, there's all these kind of functional things, but he's going to push to

1:08:34

try to be out there the next game. So find a way just to steal this one in Dallas where no one's

1:08:40

giving you a chance. I haven't looked at what the line is, but it can't be favorable. Eight and a half.

1:08:44

Eight and a half big underdogs. Yeah. I, I, you know, you're, you're huge underdogs in the game.

1:08:49

No one's expecting you to give a fight. But again, Thursdays are weird games, man. Like,

1:08:53

there's just, there's different things about it. I don't know how quickly the defense now

1:08:58

integrating Joey Porter, Jr. How quickly or they ramping him up. He played a couple dozen

1:09:02

snaps last week. Can he make the difference? Can they cover up just some of those things that

1:09:06

have been happily and complicated scheme? You know, it's the, it's basically the Vic Fangio scheme.

1:09:10

The Christian parker is implemented and that's not always easy for everyone to adapt to. So how

1:09:15

quickly can they clean those things up? Does the kind of chaos? You said there were some scrambling

1:09:19

from Jalen Daniels. That's the biggest thing. He's got a big arm too. But the number one thing he

1:09:23

can do is just kind of create things. You put him out there, you give him a play. That may or may not

1:09:28

be how the play actually goes. And he's going to try to create something with his legs. That can

1:09:32

sometimes be good because the defense is playing you to stop the player running, not the off schedule

1:09:37

stuff that the quarterbacks do. But you know, the Ameka Bukas of the world, Bucky Irvings,

1:09:42

like those guys have to step up. The Jalen Macmillan loss was a was a big deal. That was probably

1:09:47

depending on you talked to that might have been the best receiver on their team. So Chris Godwin,

1:09:51

a Bukat step up and makes some plays. The offensive line hasn't been at their best. Cody

1:09:56

Malk still looks like he's, you know, coming off of an injury. Everybody's got to play better.

1:10:00

But you got one chance to do this and rather than sitting for 10 days and wondering who's going to

1:10:04

get fired and we're all in five. What do we do now? Like get the win on the short. We get to one

1:10:08

in four. Just kind of like the Patriots and Buffalo last week where it's a huge exhale. If you can

1:10:13

just find a way as unlikely as it seems, regardless of a line, just find a way to get a win.

1:10:19

And that Cowboys defense. I mean, they're bottom three in every metric. There are signs of life

1:10:24

here and there. And I'm with you. I think even if you look at Vic Fandjo's first season in Miami,

1:10:29

and Philadelphia, that first month wasn't pretty in either spot. It does take time to learn your

1:10:35

personnel and figure it out. But that's a break of getting to face them here in week five. And so

1:10:40

it's a short week. Your quarterback, like you said, can make those second reaction plays.

1:10:44

I think there's a chance they could move the football a little bit and keep this one close. The

1:10:49

Joey Porter Jr. thing is very interesting to me. They feel like a lot of eggs in the basket. If he's

1:10:53

going to help fix a lot of things and get to Ron Blandon a different role on this defense. And it's

1:10:58

going to fix things for this defense. You know, they got him in there right away last week. We'll

1:11:02

see how many snaps he plays this week. They just need that defense to be average. I've said you've

1:11:07

heard me say it a million times because that offense is cooking. I mean, they looked unbelievable

1:11:12

last week. They're one of the best offenses in the NFL. They're left tackle Tyler Geiten is kind

1:11:16

of one of these making the leap type guys. It feels like this year where he's playing really good

1:11:20

football for them. Their best offensive lineman Tyler Smith hasn't even played yet. They're going to

1:11:25

get him back healthy at some point. So yeah, if the Cowboys, you know, we talked about the

1:11:30

Bucks end of it. If the Cowboys can come in here and just score 35, we're going to be talking about

1:11:36

them as though they definitely are the team to be in the NFC East here. So yeah, entertaining.

1:11:41

You know, Cowboys offense is fun to watch. And Bucks have a quarterback. I think people are going

1:11:47

to find relatively entertaining. Let's see if we regret saying that when we do our show on Friday.

1:11:51

But I think he can do some things. Todd Bolzes and just going to sit back and say,

1:11:55

let's just chill out and play some shell zone. Now he's going to get after you. So the elements,

1:12:01

the schematic elements of this game. I don't I'm not sure it's going to be close. I think it could

1:12:05

be close, but the schematic elements at least should provide for some entertainment.

1:12:09

We'll break down that game on this show on Friday. We got the ringer 107 picks. We had our main

1:12:15

characters head into the Sunday of week five. And who knows, maybe we even have Billy Gill.

1:12:22

unclear. We will effort details on if he's not that. Well, effort details on the type of case.

1:12:28

If he's actually on the jury, is he an alternate? Whatever we can legally tell you about the fate

1:12:35

and the situation surrounding Billy Gill, we will bring you those updates on Friday. Thank you

1:12:40

to everybody for watching and listening to this episode. Thanks, our Junena,

1:12:44

Crystal, team behind scenes. We're sheel. I'm Tom. See you.

1:12:57

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